18:54 Newcastle (AW)

Trusted Betting Site Reviews Gambling.com Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Queen's Hame

No. 1 · score 63.5 · +2.4 clear of next best · best 8/15·1.55

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way61.2/100 rating

Star Of Commala

4.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Queen's Hame

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 63.5 · +2.4 clear of next best (61.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
93very strong
Last 6: 2-1
Ratings50% weight
52average
OR 78
Trainer20% weight
45below average
William Haggas: 7/38 winners last 14d (18%)

MarketBest price 1.55 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
1Queen's Hame
Prominent(2)
3Star Of Commala 5Navertity
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
6Bowie Lass 9Suntino Lady
Unknown(4)
2Miss Veronika 4Mystic Wave 7Janora 8Roccapina

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.94

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.06

High (7–9)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Queen's HamePick J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2 · combo 15/67 (22%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	21	9-06	78	—	—	63.5	4/5·1.79	1.55·1.55 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1.55·1.55 Bet3658/15·1.53Smarkets1.52·1.52SmarketsSBK1/2·1.50 William Hill1/2·1.50Matchbook1.5·1.50Coral4/9·1.44 Ladbrokes4/9·1.44 Paddy Power4/9·1.44Betfair Sportsbook4/9·1.44Unibet2/5·1.40 Betfred2/5·1.40 7Bet2/5·1.40 BetMGM2/5·1.40 BetTom2/5·1.40 BetWright2/5·1.40 Boyle Sports2/5·1.40 BresBet2/5·1.40 SportingIndex2/5·1.40 Spreadex2/5·1.40 Dragon Bet2/5·1.40 LiveScore Bet2/5·1.40 Midnite2/5·1.40 Quinn Bet2/5·1.40Virgin Bet2/5·1.40Bet Victor4/11·1.36 Star Sports4/11·1.36 talkSPORT BET4/11·1.36 Betano4/11·1.36
3	Star Of Commala J: Molly Keegan-Price(7) · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 8 3yo · F · bDOnly rideOnly runner	71	9-02	79	—	—	61.2	4/1·5.11	4.5·4.50 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Matchbook4.4·4.40Betfred10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33Smarkets4.3·4.30SmarketsSBK16/5·4.20 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00talkSPORT BET3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 BresBet11/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75
8	Roccapina J: James Sullivan · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	64	8-09	—	—	—	22.3	18/1·19.17	44·44.00 Matchbook · +130% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook44·44.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Midnite18/1·19.00Smarkets18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange18·18.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BetWright11/1·12.00
9	Suntino Lady J: William Pyle · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 5 · combo 0/25 (0%) 3yo · F · b	4	8-09	—	—	—	21.5	22/1·24.28	46·46.00 Matchbook · +89% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Smarkets38·38.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00BetTom18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00
2	Miss Veronika J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3 · combo 3/68 (4%) 4yo · F · chOnly rideOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	17.0	80/1·77.96	170·170.00 Matchbook · +118% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook170·170.00Midnite80/1·81.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Smarkets65·65.00Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 BresBet60/1·61.00 SmarketsSBK60/1·61.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00talkSPORT BET50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange44·44.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00
5	Navertity J: Jason Hart · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 4 3yo · F · bOnly runner	4	8-13	—	—	—	15.5	9/1·10.22	8/1·9.00 BetTom · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ BetTom8/1·9.00 Bet36515/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Matchbook8.2·8.20Smarkets8.2·8.20Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.507Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Betfair Exchange4.9·4.90
6	Bowie Lass J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 · combo 4/51 (8%) 3yo · F · b	68	8-11	—	—	—	15.2	150/1·161.03	450·450.00 Matchbook · +180% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook450·450.00Midnite200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.007Bet150/1·151.00 Coral150/1·151.00 Ladbrokes150/1·151.00 Quinn Bet150/1·151.00 Unibet150/1·151.00 Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetTom150/1·151.00 Betfred150/1·151.00 Boyle Sports150/1·151.00 William Hill150/1·151.00 BresBet125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 Star Sports125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00Bet365125/1·126.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 talkSPORT BET100/1·101.00 Betfair Exchange80·80.00Smarkets25·25.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00
7	Janora J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 6 · combo 2/33 (6%) 3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	—	8-11	—	—	—	15.0	33/1·33.23	70·70.00 Matchbook · +111% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook70·70.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Bet36528/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50
4	Mystic Wave J: Dylan Hogan · T: David Thompson · draw 9 4yo · F · b	7	9-00	—	—	—	13.0	200/1·192.98	530·530.00 Matchbook · +175% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook530·530.00Midnite250/1·251.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Paddy Power200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00BetTom200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 BresBet150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 BetMGM150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00talkSPORT BET150/1·151.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 Betfair Exchange90·90.00Smarkets80·80.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28–29 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Trusted Betting Site Reviews Gambling.com Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)?

The Trusted Betting Site Reviews Gambling.com Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) is off at 18:54 on 20 August 2026 at Newcastle (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Queen's Hame (score 63.5, best price 1.55). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

The market favourite is Queen's Hame at a best price of 1.55.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org