18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

Trusted Betting Site Reviews Gambling.com Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Star Of Commala (IRE)
    Molly Keegan-Price·Jane Chapple-Hyam
    85/40·3.12
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Queen's Hame (GB)AI top pick · 63.5
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths
    8/15F·1.53
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Roccapina (GB)
    James Sullivan·Grant Tuer·beaten 7 lengths
    22/1·23.00
    SP
Race time
1m 27.86s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Star Of Commala (IRE))

“Held up eagerly early - set the pace throughout - roused approaching final furlong - fended off pressure inside the furlong marker - stayed strongest to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.53 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Queen's Hame

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 63.5 · +2.4 clear of next best (61.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    William Haggas: 7/38 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
3yo · F · b
71
7961.2
85/40·3.12
SP
21
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · F · b
21
7863.5
8/15F·1.53
SP
38
J: James Sullivan · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1
3yo · F · b
64
—22.3
22/1·23.00
SP
42
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3
4yo · F · ch
——17.0
66/1·67.00
SP
59
3yo · F · b
4
—21.5
22/1·23.00
SP
67
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 6
3yo · F · b
——15.0
16/1·17.00
SP
75
J: Jason Hart · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 4
3yo · F · b
4
—15.5
8/1·9.00
SP
84
J: Dylan Hogan · T: David Thompson · draw 9
4yo · F · b
7
—13.0
250/1·251.00
SP
96
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7
3yo · F · b
68
—15.2
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:54 Newcastle (AW) on 20 August 2026?

Star Of Commala (IRE) won the 18:54 Newcastle (AW) at SP 3.12. Ridden by Molly Keegan-Price. Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Queen's Hame) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Star Of Commala (IRE) (3.12), 2. Queen's Hame (GB) (1.53), 3. Roccapina (GB) (23.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:54 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 27.86s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org