What time is the Mews Hotel Ossett Ebf Stallions Nursery Handicap Stakes?
The Mews Hotel Ossett Ebf Stallions Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 16:45 on 20 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).
Mews Hotel Ossett Ebf Stallions Nursery Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 22 runners · £51,540 · Thursday, 20 August 2026
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Big Cigar heads a competitive 22-runner Class 2 sprint at York on good ground with a rating six points clear of Revels and comfortably ahead of the remainder, which in a field this size amounts to a meaningful edge at seven furlongs. Revels is the most obvious threat as the only other runner rated in the 90s, while Shadow King and Perfect Nation will both need to improve to bridge the gap to the top of the ratings. With the confidence to go high on selection in a trappy Class 2, Big Cigar looks the one to be on, and that is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 2yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Shape: 6 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Today: Perfect Nation (draw 4) and Roosike (draw 8) get the bias; Weleyff (draw 16) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
The Mews Hotel Ossett Ebf Stallions Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 16:45 on 20 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).
7f, Class 2, Flat, 22 runners declared.
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
The AI top-rated runner is Weleyff (score 76.3, best price 7.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
The market favourite is Mia Fantasia at a best price of 5.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Weleyff.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org