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17:20 York

British Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 21 runners · £51,540 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 16 · score 69.3 · +1.1 clear of next best · best 3/1·4.10
Best value vs consensus
75·75.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 60.83)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way63.6/100 rating
Tryst
12.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: FigjamDiffers from our pick

Figjam rates narrowly behind the top-rated Mubasimah on paper, but a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge make her the more attractive proposition in a wide-open seven-furlong Class 2 at York on good ground. Mubasimah's rating is higher but Figjam's progressive profile and fitness edge may be enough to bridge that gap, and a horse hitting its peak form can plausibly overhaul a three-pound deficit in a field of this size. Royal Velvet and Lam Yai are the other principal dangers and must be respected in a competitive 21-runner heat, though both sit a little further back in the ratings. Figjam is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Starlight Lass

Saffie Osborne · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 21
score 69.3 · +1.1 clear of next best (68.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    96very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    43d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    John & Thady Gosden: 4/16 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87
MarketBest price 4.10 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.22
Mid (8–14)
IV 1.06
High (15–21)
IV 0.71

Today: Caim (draw 3) and Lam Yai (draw 1) get the bias; Starlight Lass (draw 15) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
16
3yo · F · grOnly pairing
211
8769.34/1·5.194.1·4.10
Matchbook · -21% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3 · combo 8/27 (30%)
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
124
8968.216/1·17.8016.5·16.50
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
21
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 11
3yo · F · chOnly pairing
23411
7964.822/1·22.2622·22.00
Matchbook
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 12 · combo 22/104 (21%)
3yo · F · bpD
427611
9363.612/1·12.6112.5·12.50
Matchbook
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 18 · combo 3/18 (17%)
4yo · F · chDOnly ride
4411
8863.518/1·19.2926·26.00
Betfair Exchange · +35% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 · combo 25/101 (25%)
3yo · F · bFirst after wind op
14321
9662.825/1·25.2228·28.00
Betfair Exchange · +11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 · combo 9/27 (33%)
4yo · F · bt
21450
8761.625/1·25.2218·18.00
Betfair Exchange · -29% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Grant Tuer · draw 4
5yo · M · chClass dropDGoing 2/3Only runner
119116
10260.733/1·34.1360·60.00
Betfair Exchange · +76% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
19
J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 · combo 1/26 (4%)
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
82222
8060.450/1·50.4548·48.00
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 10 · combo 17/122 (14%)
3yo · F · chClass dropD
13215
8959.517/2·9.6410.5·10.50
Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
18
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ed Walker · draw 14
3yo · F · bhDOnly pairing
11413
8357.816/1·17.8014.5·14.50
Betfair Exchange · -19% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
15
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 · combo 19/99 (19%)
3yo · F · bDGoing 1/2
61126
8857.812/1·13.3513.5·13.50
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
17
J: George Wood · T: Harry Eustace · draw 20 · combo 3/17 (18%)
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
01693
8653.566/1·60.83100·100.00
Betfair Exchange · +64% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
20
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 · combo 11/122 (9%)
5yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
722222
7552.528/1·31.1628·28.00
Smarkets · -10% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 21 · combo 3/47 (6%)
4yo · F · chpOnly runner
051544
8552.140/1·38.5844·44.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
5yo · M · bClass dropOnly ride
11055
10050.925/1·25.2223·23.00
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 19 · combo 8/93 (9%)
3yo · F · bOnly ride
42289
9250.466/1·60.83150·150.00
Smarkets · +147% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 16
3yo · F · bpFT POnly runner
11700
9448.980/1·75.6775·75.00
Betfair Exchange
All 28 books ▾
3
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 17 · combo 9/50 (18%)
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
26050
9848.366/1·60.8375·75.00
Matchbook · +23% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
4yo · F · chp
464207
8347.140/1·38.5832·32.00
Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Ray Dawson · T: Katie Scott · draw 13
3yo · F · bOnly runner
746467
9045.640/1·38.5846·46.00
Betfair Exchange · +19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 48% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes?

The British Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 17:20 on 20 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:20 York?

7f, Class 2, Flat, 21 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:20 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:20 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Starlight Lass (score 69.3, best price 4.10). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:20 York?

The market favourite is Starlight Lass at a best price of 4.10.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org