What time is the End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)?
The End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) is off at 16:20 on 21 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).
16:20 Newmarket (July)
End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £6,442 · Friday, 21 August 2026
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Best value vs consensus
No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.
No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.
Why the model rates this top
Zurna
Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett · 3yo
Top-rated of 4
score 64.4 · +3.1 clear of next best (61.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong43d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Julia & Shelley Birkett: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 9-7-2-1
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 3.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 4.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(2)
- Mid-division(1)
- Hold-up / closers(0)—
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.30
High (4–4)
IV 0.82
Today: Patrol (draw 3) gets the bias; Parisian Scholar (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?
1m4f, Class 4, Flat, 4 runners declared.
What is the going for the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?
Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?
The AI top-rated runner is Zurna (score 64.4, best price 3.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?
The market favourite is Rizal at a best price of 2.16. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Zurna.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org