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17:40 Hamilton

Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 3 runners · £20,616 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 56.8 · +4.1 clear of next best · best 4/6·1.67
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lord d'Or

Callum Rodriguez · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 3
score 56.8 · +4.1 clear of next best (52.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 6-2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Andrew Balding: 7/56 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 1.67 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m3f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–1)
IV 0.95
Mid (2–2)
IV 1.02
High (3–3)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
3yo · C · bOnly pairing
6222
8256.84/6·1.67
Bet365
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Shane Gray · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 2
6yo · G · bt15lb below win mark
7424
8252.73/1·4.00
SmarketsSBK
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 3 · combo 15/68 (22%)
3yo · G · b
4
28.09/2·5.50
Ladbrokes
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 17:40 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:40 Hamilton?

1m3f, Class 2, Flat, 3 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:40 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:40 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Lord d'Or (score 56.8, best price 1.67). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:40 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Lord d'Or at a best price of 1.67.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org