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18:15 Hamilton

Scullion Law Lanark Silver Bell Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 15 runners · £53,086 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 67.7 · +4.4 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.50
Best value vs consensus
29·29.00 Smarkets · +17% vs fair (consensus 24.75)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way67.7/100 rating
Salamanca City
5.50Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Salamanca City

Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 5yo

Top-rated of 15
score 67.7 · +4.4 clear of next best (63.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    90very strong
    Last 6: 6-1-2-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    James Fanshawe: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (Paddy Power) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.95
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.02
High (11–15)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 14 · combo 12/61 (20%)
5yo · M · bDOnly runner
61211
8967.713/2·7.289/2·5.50
Paddy Power · -24% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 4 · combo 3/12 (25%)
4yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
91543
10263.417/2·9.4610.5·10.50
Smarkets · +11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: David Egan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 · combo 1/13 (8%)
3yo · C · b
41753
9959.510/1·10.5613/2·7.50
BetTom · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 10 · combo 15/68 (22%)
4yo · G · btFT T
01100
10059.07/1·8.0111/2·6.50
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 · combo 14/83 (17%)
4yo · G · bOn last winning markC
06021
8556.211/1·12.3811·11.00
Smarkets · -11% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
10
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 · combo 8/73 (11%)
4yo · G · b
83427
8955.925/1·24.7525/1·26.00
SmarketsSBK · +5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Oli Rix · draw 1
4yo · G · bOnly runner
83712
9755.27/1·8.015/1·6.00
Bet365 · -25% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
13
J: Joanna Mason · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
11037
8653.925/1·24.7529·29.00
Smarkets · +17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 15 · combo 1/16 (6%)
6yo · G · bOn last winning markOnly pairing
11361
7852.616/1·17.4719·19.00
Smarkets · +9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Tom Eaves · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
7yo · G · chOnly pairing
3535P
9550.340/1·42.2233/1·34.00
Boyle Sports · -19% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 · combo 2/33 (6%)
5yo · M · al bruhFT HOnly pairing
3606
10048.966/1·59.6948·48.00
Matchbook · -20% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
6
J: Shane Gray · T: James Owen · draw 12
5yo · G · bpOnly runner
38608
9148.928/1·29.1227·27.00
Smarkets · -7% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
7
J: Sam James · T: Mark Walford · draw 11
6yo · G · bOnly runner
181062
9148.320/1·21.8420·20.00
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 13 · combo 11/123 (9%)
4yo · G · b
303100
8747.618/1·18.9316/1·17.00
SmarketsSBK · -10% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: David Allan · T: Adam Nicol · draw 9
8yo · G · btOnly runner
12050
8838.950/1·49.5040/1·41.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 46% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Scullion Law Lanark Silver Bell Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)?

The Scullion Law Lanark Silver Bell Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) is off at 18:15 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:15 Hamilton?

1m4f, Class 2, Flat, 15 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:15 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:15 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Salamanca City (score 67.7, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:15 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Salamanca City at a best price of 5.50.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org