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18:45 Hamilton

Acrisure Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 13 runners · £10,308 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 7 · score 53.5 · +1.7 clear of next best · best 5/1·5.80
Best value vs consensus
17.5·17.50 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 15.49)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way53.5/100 rating
Jordan Electrics
5.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Jordan Electrics

Mark Winn · Jim Goldie · 10yo

Top-rated of 13
score 53.5 · +1.7 clear of next best (51.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 9-5-4-8-3-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Jim Goldie: 4/38 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 5.80 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.19
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.00
High (10–13)
IV 0.79

Today: Parisiac (draw 2) and Stargazed (draw 4) get the bias; Jordan Electrics (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: Mark Winn · T: Jim Goldie · draw 12
10yo · G · bpClass dropOnly pairing
954831
8653.56/1·7.045.8·5.80
Smarkets · -18% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 · combo 11/123 (9%)
6yo · M · bClass drop
942602
8451.95/1·6.105.1·5.10
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
11
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2
7yo · G · bpC&DOnly pairing
81220
7951.422/1·23.9420/1·21.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 11 · combo 6/68 (9%)
5yo · G · chClass drop
01910
9151.116/1·16.9014/1·15.00
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 · combo 12/61 (20%)
3yo · F · bvFT VClass drop
20878
8651.120/1·21.1214/1·15.00
7Bet · -29% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
5
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Michael Dods · draw 7
6yo · G · bpFT PClass dropOnly runner
03250
8750.820/1·21.1218.5·18.50
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 · combo 4/73 (5%)
5yo · G · bbClass drop
013445
8649.98/1·9.1513/2·7.50
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 3 · combo 6/78 (8%)
5yo · G · bClass drop
250634
8449.510/1·11.279.8·9.80
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 9 · combo 6/55 (11%)
3yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
14290
9147.814/1·14.0814/1·15.00
Bet365 · +7% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 · combo 4/26 (15%)
5yo · G · b
507482
6945.914/1·15.4917.5·17.50
Matchbook · +13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: David Nolan · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 13
4yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
09939
8943.718/1·18.3118/1·19.00
Bet365 · +4% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Cieren Fallon · T: John Ryan · draw 10
5yo · G · gOnly runner
45294
8743.39/1·9.8613/2·7.50
LiveScore Bet · -24% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
13
J: William Pyle · T: Linda Perratt · draw 1
3yo · G · bhOnly pairing
150859
7040.5100/1·114.07100/1·101.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 41% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Acrisure Handicap Stakes?

The Acrisure Handicap Stakes is off at 18:45 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:45 Hamilton?

5f, Class 3, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:45 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:45 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Jordan Electrics (score 53.5, best price 5.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:45 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Eternal Sunshine at a best price of 5.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Jordan Electrics.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org