19:45 Hamilton

Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £5,286 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Montezuma

No. 3 · score 50.8 · +0.4 clear of next best · best 8/1·8.80

Drawn 4, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way50.8/100 rating

Montezuma

8.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Montezuma

David Egan · Jim Goldie · 4yo

Top-rated of 10

score 50.8 · +0.4 clear of next best (50.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
52average
OR 78
Form20% weight
47below average
Last 6: 2-0-5-3-2-5
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Jim Goldie: 4/38 winners last 14d (11%)

MarketBest price 8.80 (Smarkets) · 5th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
3Montezuma 9Daizen
Prominent(3)
1Winged Messenger 5Wobwobwob 10Iris Dancer
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
6They All Know Me 7Miraculous 8Dandy Magic
Unknown(2)
2City Captain 4Lord Bertie

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.19

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.00

High (8–10)

IV 0.79

Today: Montezuma (draw 4) and Lord Bertie (draw 1) get the bias; Dandy Magic (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	MontezumaPick J: David Egan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 4yo · G · bhOnly pairing	205325	9-12	78	—	—	50.8	10/1·10.74	8.8·8.80 Smarkets · -18% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets8.8·8.80Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Matchbook8.4·8.40Unibet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60
2	City Captain J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 5 4yo · G · bOnly runner	31624	9-12	78	—	—	50.4	5/1·5.89	9/2·5.50 Betfair Sportsbook · -7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Smarkets5.3·5.30Bet3654/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Spreadex7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10Matchbook1.3·1.30
6	They All Know Me J: David Nolan · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 · combo 2/10 (20%) 4yo · G · gOnly runner	288180	9-08	74	—	—	49.2	22/1·22.27	18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes · -15% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00Smarkets18·18.00LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10·10.00
8	Dandy Magic J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 · combo 11/123 (9%) 4yo · F · chpOn last winning markC&D	044431	9-08	69	—	—	47.9	5/1·5.89	4.8·4.80 Betfair Exchange · -19% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80Matchbook4.8·4.80Smarkets4.8·4.80Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.35Virgin Bet10/3·4.357Bet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33
7	Miraculous J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10 · combo 20/202 (10%) 4yo · G · bD	935781	9-08	74	—	—	46.5	5/1·5.89	5.6·5.60 Smarkets · -5% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets5.6·5.60SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Matchbook5.3·5.30Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30 Bet3654/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Unibet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50
4	Lord Bertie J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 · combo 8/73 (11%) 6yo · G · bh	60069	9-12	78	—	—	45.2	8/1·9.17	13/2·7.50 Coral · -18% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 7Bet6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Smarkets6.8·6.80Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6·6.00
1	Winged Messenger J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 7 · combo 6/68 (9%) 5yo · G · bhp	31405	10-00	80	—	—	44.9	9/1·9.82	8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.00BetTom7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 7Bet13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill13/2·7.50 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00Matchbook6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6·6.00
10	Iris Dancer J: Andrew Mullen · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 2 8yo · M · bbC&DGoing 1/3Only pairing	161309	9-00	66	—	—	44.3	28/1·27.51	20/1·21.00 7Bet · -24% vs fair All 26 books ▾ 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00William Hill18/1·19.00Matchbook18·18.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00
5	Wobwobwob J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 8 · combo 3/10 (30%) 8yo · G · bvOnly runner	00950	9-09	75	—	—	43.3	28/1·27.51	25/1·26.00 Bet365 · -5% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Matchbook11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange11·11.00
9	Daizen J: Cieren Fallon · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 3 3yo · G · grDOnly pairing	50510	9-05	74	—	—	40.1	14/1·14.41	11/1·12.00 Bet365 · -17% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36511/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.007Bet10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange8·8.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 19:45 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:45 Hamilton?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:45 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:45 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Montezuma (score 50.8, best price 8.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:45 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Dandy Magic at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Montezuma.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org