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RacingAlpha

19:45 Hamilton

Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £5,286 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1F·4.00
  1. 1st
    City Captain (GB)AI top pick · 50.4
    Callum Rodriguez·Harriet Bethell
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Miraculous (IRE)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 1 length
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dandy Magic (IRE)
    Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (City Captain (GB))

“Sat close to front pack early - hit front two out and driven on - given a squeeze one out - found more to the line for a comfortable win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lord Bertie

Lord Bertie heads this ten-runner Class 4 sprint at Hamilton on good-to-soft ground carrying the strongest rating in the field, nudging narrowly ahead of Winged Messenger, who represents the most credible danger and will need watching throughout the six furlongs. Wobwobwob and They All Know Me add further depth to the threat, though both sit a clear step below the top two on known form. Lord Bertie is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

City Captain

Callum Rodriguez · Harriet Bethell · 4yo

Top-rated of 10
score 50.4 · +0.1 clear of next best (50.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    104d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 3-1-6-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78
  • Trainer20% weight
    33small sample (n=8)
    Harriet Bethell: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.19
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.00
High (8–10)
IV 0.79

Today: Montezuma (draw 4) and Lord Bertie (draw 1) get the bias; Dandy Magic (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
4yo · G · b
31624
7850.4
3/1F·4.00
SP
27
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
4yo · G · b
935781
7446.0
7/1·8.00
SP
38
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9
4yo · F · chp
044431
6947.4
4/1·5.00
SP
46
4yo · G · g
288180
7447.7
11/1·12.00
SP
510
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 2
8yo · M · bb
161309
6644.3
20/1·21.00
SP
63
J: David Egan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
4yo · G · bh
205325
7850.3
6/1·7.00
SP
71
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 7
5yo · G · bhp
31405
8044.9
10/1·11.00
SP
89
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 3
3yo · G · gr
50510
7440.1
16/1·17.00
SP
95
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 8
8yo · G · bv
00950
7539.8
18/1·19.00
SP
104
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 1
6yo · G · bh
60069
7845.2
13/2·7.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:45 Hamilton on 21 August 2026?

City Captain (GB) won the 19:45 Hamilton at SP 4.00. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by Harriet Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:45 Hamilton?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, City Captain, won the race (AI score 50.4).

What were the placings in the 19:45 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. City Captain (GB) (4.00), 2. Miraculous (IRE) (8.00), 3. Dandy Magic (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:45 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 12.00s.

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