20:15 Hamilton

Hemmings Homes 10th Anniversary Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 13 runners · £3,664 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Startling

No. 8 · score 53.7 · +5.8 clear of next best · best 8/1·9.00

Best value vs consensus

Falcon Queen

22/1·23.00 Bet365 · +14% vs fair (consensus 20.15)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way53.7/100 rating

Startling

9.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Startling

Oisin McSweeney · John Wainwright · 4yo

Top-rated of 13

score 53.7 · +5.8 clear of next best (47.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 3-2-2-4-2-2
Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
John Wainwright: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60

MarketBest price 9.00 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
6Tanjen 9Never Dark
Prominent(5)
3King Of The Jungle 4Hi Lord 7Impressor 8Startling 11Falcon Queen
Mid-division(2)
5Harb 10Supremissy
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Jm Jhingree 12Doon The Glen 13Kyber Crystal
Unknown(1)
2Thistle Nil

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.19

Mid (6–9)

IV 1.00

High (10–13)

IV 0.79

Today: Hi Lord (draw 2) and King Of The Jungle (draw 4) get the bias; Supremissy (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	StartlingPick J: Oisin McSweeney · T: John Wainwright · draw 8 4yo · F · bbOnly runner	322422	9-09	60	—	—	53.7	9/1·10.08	9·9.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.007Bet13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50Smarkets7.2·7.20Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00
4	Hi Lord J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: W H Harrison · draw 2 4yo · G · bOnly runner	513730	9-12	63	—	—	47.8	10/1·11.42	8/1·9.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -21% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00Matchbook8.8·8.807Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Smarkets8.2·8.20Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40
3	King Of The Jungle J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 · combo 6/78 (8%) 6yo · G · bD	25011	9-13	64	—	—	45.7	13/2·7.39	6·6.00 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook6·6.007Bet9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50Smarkets5.4·5.40Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40
5	Harb J: Jack Garritty · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 5 7yo · G · b2lb below win markDOnly ride	683045	9-09	60	—	—	41.5	10/1·10.75	8/1·9.00 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Smarkets8.2·8.20BetWright7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Betano13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80Matchbook6.2·6.20
2	Thistle Nil J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 · combo 4/26 (15%) 4yo · G · bClass drop	79180	10-00	65	—	—	40.6	50/1·55.08	40/1·41.00 7Bet · -26% vs fair All 26 books ▾ 7Bet40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00Smarkets38·38.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00
10	Supremissy J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 10 · combo 14/83 (17%) 3yo · F · bD	U9319	9-03	56	—	—	40.5	11/1·12.09	12·12.00 Matchbook All 27 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.007Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80Bet36515/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
9	Never Dark J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 12 9yo · G · bOnly ride	76672	9-05	56	—	—	39.7	11/1·12.09	8/1·9.00 Paddy Power · -26% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Paddy Power8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00Matchbook8·8.00
6	Tanjen J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 · combo 20/202 (10%) 4yo · F · bOn last winning markC&D	597751	9-09	60	—	—	38.5	9/2·5.34	3/1·4.00 7Bet · -25% vs fair All 28 books ▾ 7Bet3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Smarkets3.95·3.95Bet Victor11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75Matchbook3.3·3.30Betfair Exchange3.25·3.25
1	Jm Jhingree J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 13 · combo 4/24 (17%) 4yo · G · bpC&DOnly runner	718309	10-00	65	—	—	38.1	40/1·45.67	35/1·36.00 7Bet · -21% vs fair All 28 books ▾ 7Bet35/1·36.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00Smarkets32·32.00SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00BetMGM25/1·26.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00
7	Impressor J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 1 · combo 2/20 (10%) 9yo · G · bvFT VOnly runner	006360	9-09	60	—	—	37.3	20/1·20.15	16/1·17.00 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36516/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40
12	Doon The Glen J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 · combo 11/123 (9%) 6yo · G · bvCGoing 1/3	471875	8-13	50	—	—	35.5	14/1·14.11	10/1·11.00 Betfred · -22% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50Betano9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange8·8.00
11	Falcon Queen J: Tom Eaves · T: R Mike Smith · draw 6 3yo · F · chOnly pairing	489684	9-02	55	—	—	33.4	20/1·20.15	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · +14% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfred16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20
13	Kyber Crystal J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 11 7yo · M · grtpOnly pairing	305055	8-12	49	—	—	29.4	40/1·45.67	35/1·36.00 7Bet · -21% vs fair All 26 books ▾ 7Bet35/1·36.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00Smarkets32·32.00SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Hemmings Homes 10th Anniversary Handicap Stakes?

The Hemmings Homes 10th Anniversary Handicap Stakes is off at 20:15 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:15 Hamilton?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:15 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:15 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Startling (score 53.7, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:15 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Tanjen at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Startling.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org