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16:10 York

Sky Bet Constantine Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 20 runners · £69,579 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 69.1 · +5.4 clear of next best · best 14/1·15.00

Drawn 4, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
20·20.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair (consensus 18.54)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way63.7/100 rating
Far Above Dream
14.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: AnnafDiffers from our pick

Annaf is narrowly ahead of several rivals on our ratings yet sits two points behind the top-rated Hammer The Hammer, so the case here rests firmly on a progressive profile that suggests there may be more to come from this runner, who has handled six furlongs on good-to-soft ground before. Hammer The Hammer heads the field on figures and must be respected as the chief danger, while Golden Mind and Stratusnine, both close in the ratings, add to what is a fiercely competitive 20-runner heat. The confidence level is modest in a race of this depth, but the upward trajectory makes Annaf an appealing each-way proposition. The selection is Annaf.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Evening Saigon

James Doyle · Hamad Al Jehani · 4yo

Top-rated of 20
score 69.1 · +5.4 clear of next best (63.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    67strong
    OR 100
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 0-1-2-7-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Hamad Al Jehani: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 15.00 (William Hill) · 4th in the market of 20.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.37
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.90
High (15–20)
IV 0.69

Today: Evening Saigon (draw 4) and Air Force One (draw 3) get the bias; Red Spells Danger (draw 19) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 4 · combo 4/25 (16%)
4yo · G · bpD
01271
10069.118/1·18.5414/1·15.00
William Hill · -19% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: James Owen · draw 12 · combo 2/5 (40%)
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
11146
9963.714/1·15.6914·14.00
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
17
J: P J McDonald · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 3 · combo 2/16 (13%)
5yo · G · chvOn last winning markC&DOnly pairing
105331
9162.59/1·9.988.6·8.60
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 11 · combo 22/104 (21%)
4yo · F · bh
01501
9962.04/1·4.994·4.00
Betfair Exchange · -20% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 1 · combo 1/6 (17%)
5yo · G · grp
11910
9961.628/1·29.9530·30.00
Betfair Exchange
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Clifford Lee · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 10
5yo · H · bvOnly pairing
127840
9860.625/1·27.0928·28.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
19
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 19 · combo 20/206 (10%)
3yo · G · bDOnly ride
112451
9859.111/1·12.1217·17.00
Matchbook · +40% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 7 · combo 6/80 (8%)
5yo · G · bvDOnly runner
01917
10457.916/1·17.1116.5·16.50
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 17 · combo 8/39 (21%)
4yo · G · chOnly pairing
10609
9657.540/1·41.35110·110.00
Matchbook · +166% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
20
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Michael Appleby · draw 20
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
726262
9457.418/1·18.5420·20.00
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2 · combo 17/126 (13%)
4yo · G · bpD
79180
9656.918/1·18.5416.5·16.50
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Harry Davies · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 13
4yo · G · bC&DOnly pairing
283126
10456.022/1·24.2418.5·18.50
Betfair Exchange · -24% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 · combo 12/79 (15%)
5yo · G · btOnly pairing
724800
10055.6100/1·95.5480·80.00
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Ray Dawson · T: Robert Cowell · draw 15
5yo · G · bpOnly runner
117008
9754.766/1·72.73240·240.00
Smarkets · +230% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 14 · combo 16/143 (11%)
5yo · G · b
160453
9654.420/1·21.3927·27.00
Betfair Exchange · +26% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 · combo 4/64 (6%)
4yo · G · b
74416
9653.950/1·48.4885·85.00
Matchbook · +75% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Michael Appleby · draw 16
7yo · H · brOnly pairing
600370
9851.440/1·41.3555·55.00
Matchbook · +33% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Ryan Moore · T: Stuart Williams · draw 9
4yo · G · chDOnly runner
510786
9748.718/1·18.5419.5·19.50
Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
18
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8 · combo 6/70 (9%)
6yo · G · bpFirst after wind op
31209
9547.666/1·72.73140·140.00
Smarkets · +93% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
15
J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 18 · combo 4/29 (14%)
4yo · C · bpFT P
56000
9644.966/1·72.7365·65.00
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 43% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Constantine Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)?

The Sky Bet Constantine Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) is off at 16:10 on 22 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:10 York?

6f, Class 2, Flat, 20 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:10 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:10 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Evening Saigon (score 69.1, best price 15.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:10 York?

The market favourite is Dance In The Storm at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Evening Saigon.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org