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17:12 Killarney

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap

1m · Flat · Good · 6 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00
  1. 1st
    Seaxburh (IRE)AI top pick · 55.4
    Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Maggie Walker (IRE)
    Luke McAteer·David Marnane·beaten 3.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Old Joanie (IRE)
    Rory Mulligan·James M Barrett·beaten 0.1 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 43.53s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Seaxburh (IRE))

“Held up towards the back - still only 5th at halfway - moved into 4th approaching the final two furlongs - hit the front a furlong out and stayed on strongly to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Seaxburh

Seaxburh heads this eight-runner mile contest at Killarney on good ground narrowly ahead of Margot Mae on ratings, and the figures make her the one to beat. Margot Mae and Belicoso represent the most credible threats in a field that drops away sharply below the top three, while Old Joanie is the pick of the remainder. With high confidence in the selection, the call is Seaxburh.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Seaxburh

Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 55.4 · +4.6 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 5-6-2-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 9/62 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.12
High (7–8)
IV 0.63

Today: Margot Mae (draw 3) and Fine Line (draw 2) get the bias; Belicoso (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 72 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Seaxburh
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6
2yo · F · bp
56223
7755.4
3/1·4.00
SP
25
Maggie Walker
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 8
2yo · F · b
16
6940.8
4/1·5.00
SP
36
Old Joanie
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: James M Barrett · draw 1
2yo · F · btFT T
785
6937.2
11/1·12.00
SP
48
Fine Line
J: Shane Foley · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
0007
6339.2
11/2·6.50
SP
51
Belicoso
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7
2yo · C · b
763
8150.8
6/4F·2.50
SP
64
Razmataz
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · G · ch
080
7038.5
12/1·13.00
SP
——
Elyatta
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 4
2yo · C · btFT T
089
6836.9—
——
Margot Mae
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
637
7842.2—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:12 Killarney on 21 August 2026?

Seaxburh (IRE) won the 17:12 Killarney at SP 4.00. Ridden by Declan McDonogh. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:12 Killarney?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Seaxburh, won the race (AI score 55.4).

What were the placings in the 17:12 Killarney?

Top finishers: 1. Seaxburh (IRE) (4.00), 2. Maggie Walker (IRE) (5.00), 3. Old Joanie (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:12 Killarney?

The winning time was 1m 43.53s.

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