18:20 Killarney

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 11 runners · €30,000 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Hardy Warrior

No. 9 · score 61.7 · +4.9 clear of next best · best 2/1·3.05

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way56.8/100 rating

Carolina Jetstream

6.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Hardy Warrior

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 61.7 · +4.9 clear of next best (56.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
69strong
OR 104 — above field median
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 4-1-3-4-4
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 7/57 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 3.05 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
4Carolina Jetstream 7Subsonic
Prominent(3)
5Quebec 10Moonlit Sun 11Wearing Stars
Mid-division(1)
9Hardy Warrior
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Cristal Clere 3Jagged Edge 8Syzygy
Unknown(2)
2East Hampton 6Rion Rubette

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.24

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.12

High (9–11)

IV 0.63

Today: Carolina Jetstream (draw 1) and Wearing Stars (draw 3) get the bias; Hardy Warrior (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 72 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
9	Hardy WarriorPick J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 · combo 43/208 (21%) 3yo · C · chtp	41344	9-03	104	—	—	61.7	5/2·3.42	3.05·3.05 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.05·3.05Matchbook2.84·2.84Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75 BetTom13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 Bet36513/8·2.63 BetMGM13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 BresBet13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63Betano6/4·2.50 Midnite6/4·2.50 SportingIndex6/4·2.50 Spreadex6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 Unibet6/4·2.50 Bet Victor6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK11/8·2.38Smarkets2.38·2.38
4	Carolina Jetstream J: Wayne Lordan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	140268	9-04	105	—	—	56.8	6/1·7.15	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 24 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.40Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50William Hill9/2·5.50 Star Sports4/1·5.00Smarkets4.4·4.40SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange2.8·2.80
10	Moonlit Sun J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 11 · combo 19/157 (12%) 3yo · F · chD	314	8-12	90	—	—	54.7	7/1·7.80	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · -15% vs fair All 24 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50BetTom9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50
11	Wearing Stars J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 3 · combo 2/21 (10%) 3yo · F · cht	49242	8-12	79	—	—	53.3	28/1·29.90	25/1·26.00 Paddy Power · -13% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00William Hill22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60
6	Rion Rubette J: Paddy Harnett · T: Michael Butler · draw 5 · combo 1/5 (20%) 4yo · F · bOnly runner	81102	9-04	91	—	—	52.3	22/1·22.10	18/1·19.00 Paddy Power · -14% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Paddy Power18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00BetMGM16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Matchbook6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6·6.00
8	Syzygy J: Scott McCullagh · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 4 · combo 2/17 (12%) 4yo · F · bbOnly rideOnly runner	33624	9-04	98	—	—	51.5	18/1·19.50	14/1·15.00 Bet Victor · -23% vs fair All 23 books ▾ Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Matchbook5.2·5.20Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10
2	East Hampton J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 7 · combo 5/66 (8%) 4yo · G · b	60256	9-09	107	—	—	50.5	14/1·14.30	12/1·13.00 Bet365 · -9% vs fair All 23 books ▾ Bet36512/1·13.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Star Sports9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50Matchbook3.45·3.45Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40
3	Jagged Edge J: Jack Kearney · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 2 · combo 1/26 (4%) 4yo · G · b	01030	9-09	103	—	—	50.2	11/2·6.50	9/2·5.50 Bet365 · -15% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Bet3659/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Smarkets5·5.00Star Sports7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75Matchbook3.55·3.55Betfair Exchange3.5·3.50
7	Subsonic J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 8 · combo 14/112 (13%) 4yo · F · btp	13874	9-04	92	—	—	48.3	28/1·29.90	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · -23% vs fair All 24 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00William Hill22/1·23.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Matchbook5.8·5.80Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70
5	Quebec J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 · combo 5/70 (7%) 4yo · F · b	63880	9-04	97	—	—	47.6	40/1·44.20	33/1·34.00 Coral · -23% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Matchbook18·18.00Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
1	Cristal Clere J: Seamie Heffernan · T: John J Nallen · draw 9 8yo · G · bOnly runner	25196	9-09	99	—	—	47.0	33/1·33.80	33/1·34.00 Bet365 All 25 books ▾ Bet36533/1·34.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Matchbook18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 23–27 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed)?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed) is off at 18:20 on 21 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:20 Killarney?

1m, Class 1, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:20 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:20 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Hardy Warrior (score 61.7, best price 3.05). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:20 Killarney?

The market favourite is Hardy Warrior at a best price of 3.05.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org