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20:00 Redcar

Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 20 runners · £3,664 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 52.2 · +9.0 clear of next best · best 18/1·19.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way43.3/100 rating
Ellie's de Vega
12.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Drish SamphireAgrees with our pick

Drish Samphire holds a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, and in a wide-open twenty-runner sprint on good ground at Redcar that kind of upward trajectory can count for plenty against rivals whose ratings may more accurately reflect their ceiling. Macedonian heads the field on ratings, narrowly ahead of Ellie's de Vega and Stormy Pearl, and all three must be respected as the principal dangers in a race where margins between the leading contenders are slim. The confidence here is modest given the size of the field and the compressed nature of the ratings, but the case for picking out an improver in this grade is sound. Drish Samphire is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Drish Samphire

Cian Horgan(5) · Lawrence Mullaney · 4yo

Top-rated of 20
score 52.2 · +9.0 clear of next best (43.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Lawrence Mullaney: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 8-7-6-6-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50
MarketBest price 19.00 (Matchbook) · 11th in the market of 20.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)
IV 1.02
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.98
High (15–20)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
4yo · F · bDOnly runner
87661
5052.225/1·26.4419·19.00
Matchbook · -28% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
3yo · G · chbOnly pairing
433522
5043.312/1·14.0012·12.00
Matchbook · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
4yo · G · btpOnly rideOnly runner
53424
4842.520/1·20.2218.5·18.50
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 · combo 7/57 (12%)
3yo · F · brGoing 1/5
012443
5441.914/1·15.5513.5·13.50
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 19
3yo · F · bOn last winning markDOnly rideOnly runner
221533
5039.222/1·23.3319·19.00
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
19
J: William Pyle · T: Michael Dods · draw 3
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
725240
4638.920/1·20.2219·19.00
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1
4yo · F · bpOnly pairing
802273
4638.818/1·18.6612/1·13.00
Bet365 · -30% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 12 · combo 9/88 (10%)
4yo · G · bv
08992
5738.014/1·15.5510/1·11.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Tina Jackson · draw 2
4yo · G · grC&D
864451
5238.010/1·10.897/1·8.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -26% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 13 · combo 6/56 (11%)
4yo · G · ch
3594
5536.215/2·8.5511/2·6.50
Bet365 · -24% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: David Thompson · draw 17 · combo 0/5 (0%)
6yo · M · bpOnly runner
254303
5336.020/1·20.2212/1·13.00
Star Sports · -36% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 6 · combo 2/15 (13%)
6yo · M · b
767855
4635.811/1·11.668·8.00
Matchbook · -31% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: David Nolan · T: Peter Niven · draw 7
4yo · F · bDOnly pairing
64715
5034.612/1·13.2212·12.00
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
20
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 · combo 5/115 (4%)
3yo · F · grClass drop
784
4533.240/1·45.1033/1·34.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -25% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
J: Billy Garritty · T: Peter Niven · draw 20
9yo · G · br
466047
4529.428/1·29.5522/1·23.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -22% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
18
J: Andrew Elliott · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 16 · combo 0/12 (0%)
4yo · F · chbFT BOnly ride
793767
4529.480/1·79.3150/1·51.00
Unibet · -36% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 18
3yo · G · chpFT POnly runner
64687
5529.150/1·52.8740/1·41.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -22% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
17
4yo · F · bpOnly runner
85658
4529.040/1·45.1030/1·31.00
7Bet · -31% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Jack Garritty · T: Adam Nicol · draw 10
6yo · M · chOnly runner
5658
4828.580/1·79.3150/1·51.00
Unibet · -36% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 15
4yo · G · bbFT BOnly runner
64880
5527.240/1·40.4333/1·34.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 55% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes?

The Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes is off at 20:00 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:00 Redcar?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 20 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:00 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:00 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Drish Samphire (score 52.2, best price 19.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:00 Redcar?

The market favourite is Multaneighttothree at a best price of 6.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Drish Samphire.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org