18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

13:40 Curragh

Ireland

Moloney's Bar And Music Venue Maiden

1m2f · Flat · Good · 14 runners · €12,000 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 58.8 · +11.6 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.50

Drawn 6, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
Let's Smash It (also top rated)
11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 9.86)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way58.8/100 rating
Let's Smash It
11.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Let's Smash It

Ben Coen · Robson De Aguiar · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 58.8 · +11.6 clear of next best (47.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 2-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Robson De Aguiar: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 11.50 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.10
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.13
High (11–14)
IV 0.78

Today: Let's Smash It (draw 6) and Montevetro (draw 7) get the bias; Acula (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Ben Coen · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6
3yo · C · bOnly pairing
233
8358.89/1·9.8611.5·11.50
Matchbook · +17% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
11
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 4 · combo 3/91 (3%)
3yo · G · b
5348
8047.218/1·18.3123·23.00
Matchbook · +26% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 5 · combo 7/67 (10%)
3yo · G · bp
22
31.64/1·4.9310/3·4.33
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Luke McAteer · T: Rory Anthony Devine · draw 2 · combo 0/7 (0%)
3yo · G · b
62
28.714/1·14.0810/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -22% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Jack Foley · draw 1
3yo · C · bOnly runner
27.550/1·57.74120·120.00
Matchbook · +108% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
3yo · G · chOnly pairing
23
26.725/1·26.7660·60.00
Matchbook · +124% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
4yo · G · chOnly runner
26.5200/1·177.44500·500.00
Matchbook · +182% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 14 · combo 43/213 (20%)
3yo · F · ch
4
26.511/4·3.7013/8·2.63
Bet365 · -29% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
14
J: Leigh Roche · T: D K Weld · draw 13
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
02
24.912/1·13.3819.5·19.50
Matchbook · +46% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
13
J: W J Lee · T: A Oliver · draw 3 · combo 4/31 (13%)
3yo · F · bpFT POnly pairing
35
23.012/1·12.6714.5·14.50
Matchbook · +14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Andrew Kinirons · draw 9 · combo 0/5 (0%)
4yo · G · bOnly runner
9
18.266/1·71.82150·150.00
Matchbook · +109% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Jamie Powell · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 8 · combo 0/11 (0%)
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
9
11.2100/1·114.07300·300.00
Matchbook · +163% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 12 · combo 19/161 (12%)
3yo · G · b
7
11.018/1·18.3118·18.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Dermot Kilmartin · draw 11
3yo · C · chOnly runner
9
7.7100/1·114.07450·450.00
Matchbook · +295% vs fair
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 41% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Moloney's Bar And Music Venue Maiden?

The Moloney's Bar And Music Venue Maiden is off at 13:40 on 22 August 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:40 Curragh?

1m2f, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:40 Curragh?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:40 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Let's Smash It (score 58.8, best price 11.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:40 Curragh?

The market favourite is Acula at a best price of 2.63. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Let's Smash It.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org