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RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Let's Go Hugo (IRE)
    Tom Kiely-Marshall·Ollie Pears
    13/8J·2.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Apple's Angel (IRE)
    Donagh Murphy·Jim Boyle·beaten 1.5 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Banana (GB)
    Kieran O'Neill·Scott Dixon·beaten 0.3 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
59.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Let's Go Hugo (IRE))

took a strong hold in the pack - found room and made progress 2f out - pushed along to close between horses inside the final furlong - hit the front close home - won comfortably

AI top-rated Viennetta (score 46.7) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 150.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way40.8/100 rating
Jungle Dance
4.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bust A Moon

Bust A Moon sits four pounds below the top-rated Let's Go Hugo on paper, but a progressive profile makes that gap less significant than it appears, and there is reason to believe the form line is still travelling in the right direction over this five-furlong Lingfield surface. Let's Go Hugo and Jungle Dance, narrowly separated at the head of the ratings, are the most obvious threats, with Lochaber also worth a watching brief, and the wide, competitive nature of this Class 6 contest means confidence is modest. On balance, however, the upward trajectory gives Bust A Moon the edge, and that is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Viennetta

William Carson · Michael Blake · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 46.7 · +5.8 clear of next best (40.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    Michael Blake: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    29weak
    OR 44
  • Form20% weight
    10weak
    Last 6: 5-7-0-8
MarketBest price 290.00 (Smarkets) · 10th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.03
High (8–10)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
6yo · G · chp
708341
5038.2
13/8J·2.62
SP
22
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 8
4yo · F · ch
98465
4434.9
14/1·15.00
SP
33
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 7
7yo · M · btp
42024
4938.7
4/1·5.00
SP
47
J: Marco Ghiani · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 1
5yo · G · b
59772
5040.8
13/8J·2.62
SP
58
5yo · G · bb
0684
4123.7
40/1·41.00
SP
64
J: Gina Mangan · T: Michael Attwater · draw 9
7yo · G · b
057754
4329.9
9/1·10.00
SP
75
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 2
4yo · F · b
47909
4024.5
150/1·151.00
SP
810
J: William Carson · T: Michael Blake · draw 6
3yo · F · bh
5708
4446.7
150/1·151.00
SP
99
J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 3
4yo · F · b
747600
4634.5
100/1·101.00
SP
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Derek Shaw · draw 10
4yo · G · chh
06035
4631.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Lingfield (AW) on 25 August 2026?

Let's Go Hugo (IRE) won the 15:30 Lingfield (AW) at SP 2.62. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Ollie Pears.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Viennetta) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 15:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Let's Go Hugo (IRE) (2.62), 2. Apple's Angel (IRE) (15.00), 3. Banana (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 59.40s.

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