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Thomson Bethune Handicap Stakes

1m1f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,664 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Dalamara (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Horwich (GB)
    James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten .5 lengths
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Amber Hamur (IRE)AI top pick · 62.4
    Connor Beasley·Edward Bethell·beaten 1 length
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
Race time
1m 52.96s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dalamara (GB))

settled mid-pack early - roused with two out and closed on the front group - drove into contention a furlong out and edged ahead close home - kept up the effort to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way62.4/100 rating
Amber Hamur
9.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Only Dream Big

Only Dream Big heads this Class 6 nine-furlong contest at Musselburgh on good ground with a clear edge over the field, sitting five pounds ahead of the nearest rival Amber Hamur and eight pounds clear of the trio of Vitality, Positive Thoughts and Horwich, giving connections every reason for optimism. Amber Hamur and Vitality will be the principal dangers should Only Dream Big fail to reproduce their best, but on these figures the selection looks well positioned to dominate. Only Dream Big is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Amber Hamur

Connor Beasley · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 62.4 · +17.0 clear of next best (45.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    81very strong
    Last 6: 4-6-2-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Edward Bethell: 8/28 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 9.80 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m1f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.98
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.19
High (7–8)
IV 0.85

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 28 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4
3yo · F · chpFT P
42464
5436.5
10/1·11.00
SP
24
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 6
3yo · G · b
46606U
5832.7
22/1·23.00
SP
31
J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2
3yo · F · b
46211
6562.4
6/5F·2.20
SP
48
3yo · F · b
365314
4938.8
13/2·7.50
SP
53
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
3yo · F · bb
115563
6241.4
7/1·8.00
SP
66
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 5
3yo · F · bb
695368
5744.5
7/1·8.00
SP
75
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3
3yo · G · b
658042
5838.0
17/2·9.50
SP
82
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7
3yo · F · chh
324695
6445.4
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Musselburgh on 25 August 2026?

Dalamara (GB) won the 15:15 Musselburgh at SP 11.00. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Ben Haslam.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Amber Hamur) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Dalamara (GB) (11.00), 2. Horwich (GB) (23.00), 3. Amber Hamur (IRE) (2.20).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 52.96s.

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