16:49 Navan

Ireland

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

1m6f · Flat · Good · 18 runners · €9,000 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Sunrush (IRE)
Sam Coen·Andrew Slattery
8/1·9.00
SP
2nd
Millhone (IRE)
Rory Mulligan·Charles Weld·beaten 2 lengths
3/1F·4.00
SP
3rd
Love Orchid (IRE)
Colin Keane·Noel Meade·beaten 2.25 lengths
15/2·8.50
SP

Race time

3m 4.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sunrush (IRE))

“Sat close to pace early - driven into command 2f out - kept finding under pressure to the line”

AI top-rated Blissful Bonita (score 52.1) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way42.6/100 rating

Sunrush

13.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Chicago Moon

Chicago Moon holds a progressive profile that makes her an appealing each-way proposition in this competitive eighteen-runner field over fourteen furlongs at Navan on good-to-firm ground, even if the top-rated Sunrush heads the field on paper and holds a six-point edge in our figures. Chapel Island and Love Orchid also rate as genuine dangers, both narrowly behind Sunrush and well capable of running into a place at minimum, so the selection will need to be at her best to land this. On the strength of her upward trajectory, Chicago Moon is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Blissful Bonita

Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell · 3yo

Top-rated of 18

score 52.1 · +0.5 clear of next best (51.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
58average
Gavin Cromwell: 7/30 winners last 14d (23%)
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 8-7-5-2-4
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 65 — above field median

MarketBest price 26.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 4th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)

IV 0.88

Mid (7–12)

IV 0.94

High (13–18)

IV 1.19

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 38 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Sunrush J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 6 3yo · G · ch	74653	10-00	70	—	—	42.6	8/1·9.00 SP
2	12	Millhone J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Charles Weld · draw 8 3yo · F · chp	079223	9-03	59	—	—	37.2	3/1F·4.00 SP
3	6	Love Orchid J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 9 3yo · F · bb	596402	9-09	65	—	—	38.8	15/2·8.50 SP
4	5	Blissful Bonita J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 18 3yo · F · bp	87524	9-09	65	—	—	52.1	100/30·4.33 SP
5	11	Mare Crisium J: Ronan Whelan · T: K J Condon · draw 3 3yo · F · ch	859446	9-03	59	—	—	32.5	28/1·29.00 SP
6	10	Connecteo J: Ben Coen · T: A Oliver · draw 17 3yo · G · cht	08247	9-03	59	—	—	40.5	13/2·7.50 SP
7	18	Nando Lily J: Leigh Roche · T: Padraig Roche · draw 14 3yo · F · b	0000	8-07	45	—	—	21.5	80/1·81.00 SP
8	14	Chapel Island J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: A Oliver · draw 16 3yo · C · brt	85443	9-02	58	—	—	44.0	10/1·11.00 SP
9	17	Cameclose J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Jack W Davison · draw 2 3yo · G · baybrownb	49926	8-09	51	—	—	46.0	20/1·21.00 SP
10	2	Parish Team J: Gabriella Hill(7) · T: J S Bolger · draw 5 3yo · G · bpFT P	8800	10-00	70	—	—	37.9	33/1·34.00 SP
11	4	Chicago Moon J: W J Lee · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 12 3yo · F · brbFT B	937514	9-10	66	—	—	51.6	9/2·5.50 SP
12	1	Essential Comedy J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 4 3yo · F · b	653	10-00	70	—	—	39.0	28/1·29.00 SP
13	15	Chloe's Boy J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 11 3yo · G · bpFT P	0060	9-02	58	—	—	30.5	50/1·51.00 SP
14	16	Stabannon J: Robbie Colgan · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 1 3yo · G · g	006	8-12	54	—	—	28.5	100/1·101.00 SP
15	9	Cascade Canyon J: Rory Cleary · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 13 3yo · G · bp	604092	9-04	60	—	—	44.7	18/1·19.00 SP
16	8	Werifesteria J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7 3yo · F · bp	7870	9-07	63	—	—	36.1	40/1·41.00 SP
17	7	Strike De Vega J: Chris Hayes · T: A Oliver · draw 10 3yo · C · ch	060	9-07	63	—	—	34.8	66/1·67.00 SP
18	13	Soigne J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 15 3yo · F · b	998	9-03	59	—	—	41.3	80/1·81.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:49 Navan on 27 August 2026?

Sunrush (IRE) won the 16:49 Navan at SP 9.00. Ridden by Sam Coen. Trained by Andrew Slattery.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:49 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Blissful Bonita) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:49 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Sunrush (IRE) (9.00), 2. Millhone (IRE) (4.00), 3. Love Orchid (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:49 Navan?

The winning time was 3m 4.68s.

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