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16:19 Cartmel

Wicks Group Cavendish Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

3m1½f · Chase · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 5 runners · £13,018 · Monday, 31 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Tommie Beau (IRE)
    Benjamin Macey·Jeff Mullins
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Caughtinyourtrance (IRE)
    Brian Hughes·James Moffatt·beaten 1 length
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Stratagem (FR)
    Mr James Murray·Mickey Bowen·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
6m 24.24s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tommie Beau (IRE))

Front early but harried into second at the 7th - tracking the pace back up with 2 out - pushed forward to challenge approaching the last - in front over 2f out and four lengths to the good entering the final furlong - margin narrowed late but won with something in hand

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way75.6/100 rating
Tamarind Bay
5.10Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tommie Beau

Tommie Beau heads this field on ratings, narrowly ahead of Grand Clermont and Breizh River who share the same mark, and that edge looks meaningful over this marathon trip of twenty-six furlongs around Cartmel on good-to-soft ground, where stamina and class combine to sort out the field. Grand Clermont and Breizh River are both capable rivals and, alongside Caughtinyourtrance just a pound further back, will push Tommie Beau hard in the closing stages. The selection's superior rating nonetheless provides the best starting point in a competitive Class 3 contest, and with conditions expected to suit the stayers, Tommie Beau is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Breizh River

Harry Reed · Tristan Davidson · 8yo

Top-rated of 7
score 87.5 · +10.6 clear of next best (76.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Tristan Davidson: 4/10 winners last 14d (40%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    87very strong
    OR 131
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    44d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 1-3-2-1-3
MarketBest price 4.33 (Unibet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Benjamin Macey(5) · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 0
11yo · G · bp
86124
12762.7
4/1·5.00
SP
25
J: Brian Hughes · T: James Moffatt · draw 0
7yo · G · btp
P2211
12571.9
15/8F·2.88
SP
36
J: Mr James Murray(7) · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
10yo · G · grtp
43131
12476.9
11/1·12.00
SP
41
J: Rian Corcoran(5) · T: David Pipe · draw 0
10yo · G · cht
612412
13272.8
9/2·5.50
SP
57
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
10yo · G · bpFirst after wind op
P4343
11266.8
9/4·3.25
SP
J: James Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
6yo · G · b
2311U
12875.6
J: Harry Reed · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 0
8yo · G · btv
13213
13187.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:19 Cartmel on 31 August 2026?

Tommie Beau (IRE) won the 16:19 Cartmel at SP 5.00. Ridden by Benjamin Macey. Trained by Jeff Mullins.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:19 Cartmel?

No — the AI top pick (Breizh River) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:19 Cartmel?

Top finishers: 1. Tommie Beau (IRE) (5.00), 2. Caughtinyourtrance (IRE) (2.88), 3. Stratagem (FR) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:19 Cartmel?

The winning time was 6m 24.24s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org