Who won the 16:00 Bath on 2 September 2026?
Fram Castle (IRE) won the 16:00 Bath at SP 4.33. Ridden by Alexandra Egan. Trained by Michael Wigham.
16:00 Bath
Bath Country Race Day, Running 9 Till 5 Handicap Stakes
1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stFram Castle (IRE)Alexandra Egan·Michael Wigham100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndBasilette (IRE)AI top pick · 43.3George Downing·Jeff Mullins·beaten 0.2 lengths2/1·3.00SP
- 3rdJust Adair (GB)Pat Cosgrave·Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill·beaten 6.5 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
Race time
3m 7.04s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fram Castle (IRE))
“Handy early and sat third - into contention 2f out - pressing pace 1f out - locked together inside final 110yds - got up in the closing strides to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way36.2/100 rating
Fram Castle
4.90Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fram Castle
Fram Castle arrives here on a progressive profile that makes him an appealing proposition over this fourteen-furlong trip at Bath, and a fitness edge over some of his rivals could prove decisive in a competitive Class 6 heat. Cherry Cola heads the field on ratings, narrowly ahead of both Fram Castle and Just Adair, and must be respected, while Basilette also merits consideration as another that could make her presence felt in the closing stages. The confidence here is modest given how tightly the top contenders are covered, but the upward trajectory suggests there may be more to come. Fram Castle is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Basilette
George Downing · Jeff Mullins · 7yo
Top-rated of 10
score 43.3 · +4.2 clear of next best (39.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong12d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 3-1-3-6-2
- Ratings50% weight35below averageOR 53
- Trainer20% weight33small sample (n=8)Jeff Mullins: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 4.20 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 1m6f
full course data →Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.36).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.88
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.36
High (8–10)
IV 0.83
Today: Cherry Cola (draw 7) and Fram Castle (draw 5) get the bias; Basilette (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Alexandra Egan(7) · T: Michael Wigham · draw 5 5yo · G · chv | 60823 | 52 | 36.2 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: George Downing · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 9 7yo · M · bp | 31362 | 53 | 43.3 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 8 4yo · G · chtpFT TP | 28226 | 53 | 39.1 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Sheena West · draw 7 10yo · M · chp | 36586 | 47 | 38.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 10 3yo · G · bb | 096464 | 50 | 32.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 1 8yo · M · bh | 07R975 | 49 | 26.3 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 06766 | 45 | 25.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Ed de Giles · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 65065 | 45 | 29.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 6yo · G · grt | 705744 | 45 | 37.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 6 6yo · G · chb | 54749 | 55 | 33.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Basilette) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Fram Castle (IRE) (4.33), 2. Basilette (IRE) (3.00), 3. Just Adair (GB) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Bath?
The winning time was 3m 7.04s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org