Who won the 15:17 Haydock on 3 September 2026?
Diplomata (GB) won the 15:17 Haydock at SP 6.00. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.
15:17 Haydock
Bailey Partnership Celebrating 50 Years Nursery Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 10 runners · £4,449 · Thursday, 3 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stDiplomata (GB)Tom Marquand·William Haggas5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndOne Shot Kodi (IRE)Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 1 length13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdGerry's Darling (GB)AI top pick · 54.5Clifford Lee·Roger Fell·beaten 3.25 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
1m 30.63s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Diplomata (GB))
“Bumped leaving stalls - settled in the pack - short of room and checked more than once inside the final furlong - angled right and moved into second 110yds out - surged through to win towards the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.2/100 rating
Diplomata
8.00LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Katie's Cavalier
Katie's Cavalier is narrowly ahead of most of this field on her progressive profile, and crucially the clock has backed up the form she has shown, making her a compelling case even though High Hazard holds a one-pound advantage at the head of the ratings. High Hazard is the obvious danger and must be respected, while Koodini and Tribal Appearance are capable of making their presence felt on a soft surface at Haydock if the selection does not see it out as strongly as expected. On balance, the progressive profile and the time evidence tip the scales in her favour at this level. The selection is Katie's Cavalier.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Gerry's Darling
Clifford Lee · Roger Fell · 2yo
Top-rated of 12
score 54.5 · +3.3 clear of next best (51.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight65averageLast 6: 8-7-2-1-3
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69
- Trainer20% weight43below averageRoger Fell: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 67.00 (Virgin Bet) · 9th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 7f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.79
High (9–12)
IV 0.93
Today: Green Titan (draw 2) and One Shot Kodi (draw 3) get the bias; Diplomata (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 177 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 8 2yo · F · gr | 453 | 68 | 51.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 2yo · F · gr | 874 | 66 | 43.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Roger Fell · draw 11 2yo · F · b | 87213 | 69 | 54.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 2yo · C · bp | 022310 | 73 | 50.1 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Sam James · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 5 2yo · G · bp | 92300 | 71 | 43.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Hector Crouch · T: David Loughnane · draw 9 2yo · G · b | 56641 | 70 | 44.1 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 2 2yo · G · bpFT P | 0264 | 69 | 47.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 4 2yo · G · btFT T | 244 | 74 | 41.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 7 2yo · G · b | 627 | 71 | 48.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 2yo · G · b | 7637 | 62 | 42.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Sean Levey · T: Harry Eustace · draw 12 2yo · G · b | 5266 | 66 | 38.5 | — |
| — | — | J: David Allan · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 0815 | 66 | 45.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:17 Haydock?
No — the AI top pick (Gerry's Darling) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:17 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Diplomata (GB) (6.00), 2. One Shot Kodi (IRE) (7.50), 3. Gerry's Darling (GB) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:17 Haydock?
The winning time was 1m 30.63s.
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