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16:25 Haydock

Reprocolor Premier Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 7 runners · £15,462 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Hoseki (IRE)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hollywell Stream (IRE)
    Callum Shepherd·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Star Cast (GB)
    Jake Dickson·Gemma Tutty·beaten 1.5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
2m 15.56s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Hoseki (IRE))

Settled in third early - moving strongly before hitting the front a furlong out - drifted right under pressure inside the final 100yds but held on for the win

AI top-rated Polygram (score 69.2) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way69.2/100 rating
Polygram
12.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Miss Tonnerre

Miss Tonnerre heads this seven-runner Class 3 contest at Haydock on soft ground with a clear edge in the ratings over her nearest rival Hoseki, and over ten furlongs in testing conditions she looks well suited to assert her superiority. Hoseki, Hollywell Stream and Star Cast will push her hardest, but none of them can match her on the figures and she rates comfortably the pick on our ratings. The selection is Miss Tonnerre.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Polygram

David Allan · Tristan Davidson · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 69.2 · +5.3 clear of next best (63.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Tristan Davidson: 5/12 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Form20% weight
    84very strong
    Last 6: 3-4-2-1-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76
MarketBest price 12.00 (Smarkets) · 5th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Haydock 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.20
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.85
High (6–7)
IV 0.91

Today: Star Cast (draw 3) and Hollywell Stream (draw 1) get the bias; Geo (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 87 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 6
3yo · F · b
41114
8863.9
5/4F·2.25
SP
25
3yo · F · b
26251
8554.8
4/1·5.00
SP
34
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 3
4yo · F · b
132112
8058.0
5/1·6.00
SP
42
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 5
4yo · F · bh
77040
8345.2
14/1·15.00
SP
51
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
313U8
9050.5
7/1·8.00
SP
67
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
4yo · F · bp
242234
6951.7
18/1·19.00
SP
76
J: David Allan · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 7
4yo · F · gr
342121
7669.2
17/2·9.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Haydock on 3 September 2026?

Hoseki (IRE) won the 16:25 Haydock at SP 2.25. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Haydock?

No — the AI top pick (Polygram) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:25 Haydock?

Top finishers: 1. Hoseki (IRE) (2.25), 2. Hollywell Stream (IRE) (5.00), 3. Star Cast (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Haydock?

The winning time was 2m 15.56s.

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