Who won the 15:59 Newcastle (AW) on 3 September 2026?
Mussab (GB) won the 15:59 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.25. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.
15:59 Newcastle (AW)
Admiral Race To Riches Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 3 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 1/4F·1.25Race report
- 1stMussab (GB)AI top pick · 52.8Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey1/4F·1.25SP
- 2ndCaelum (IRE)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten 4 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdWhat A Girl Wants (IRE)Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 0.3 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 0.75s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mussab (GB))
“Drifted slightly left from the break - settled just behind the front two - improving strongly with 2f remaining - roused to take command inside final 2f - drifted left again but pulled well away to score comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Mussab
Oisin Orr · Richard & Peter Fahey · 2yo
Top-rated of 8
score 52.8 · +6.8 clear of next best (46.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight65averageOR 97 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight40below averageLast 6: 3-3-6
- Trainer20% weight28weakRichard & Peter Fahey: 6/54 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 1.40 (BetTom) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–9)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 2yo · C · br | 336 | 97 | 52.8 | 1/4F·1.25 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 20.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 2yo · F · bhFT H | 322044 | 81 | 46.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 22.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 8 2yo · G · b | — | — | 25.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 6 | — | 14.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4 2yo · F · br | 87 | — | 21.2 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison · draw 9 2yo · C · ch | 75 | — | 17.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: William Haggas · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 75 | — | 21.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:59 Newcastle (AW)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Mussab, won the race (AI score 52.8).
What were the placings in the 15:59 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Mussab (GB) (1.25), 2. Caelum (IRE) (5.50), 3. What A Girl Wants (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:59 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 0.75s.
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