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15:03 Salisbury

Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £8,100 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Rose Moon (GER)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hereward (FR)AI top pick · 37.0
    Colin Keane·Brian Meehan·beaten 2.5 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Caelan's Rose (GB)
    Rob Hornby·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.25 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
Race time
1m 45.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Rose Moon (GER))

Settled at the back - moving comfortably - closed to dispute 2f out before going to the front over 1f out - stuck on gamely to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way25.0/100 rating
Ahmadi
6.50Midnite
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Hereward

Colin Keane · Brian Meehan · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 37.0 · +11.5 clear of next best (25.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    75strong
    Brian Meehan: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 3.00 (Star Sports) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.89
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.16
High (7–9)
IV 0.98

Today: Rose Moon (draw 6) and Mr Badger (draw 5) get the bias; Caelan's Rose (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6
2yo · C · b
22.5
5/2·3.50
SP
24
J: Colin Keane · T: Brian Meehan · draw 9
2yo · C · b
3
37.0
6/4F·2.50
SP
38
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
25.5
20/1·21.00
SP
45
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7
2yo · C · b
5
16.0
50/1·51.00
SP
57
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 4
2yo · F · bhFT H
18.5
18/1·19.00
SP
69
J: Harry Davies · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 5
2yo · C · b
5
19.0
14/1·15.00
SP
71
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8
2yo · C · ch
4
25.0
100/30·4.33
SP
86
J: David Egan · T: Ed de Giles · draw 3
2yo · C · b
8
12.0
150/1·151.00
SP
92
2yo · C · b
20.0
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:03 Salisbury on 3 September 2026?

Rose Moon (GER) won the 15:03 Salisbury at SP 3.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:03 Salisbury?

No — the AI top pick (Hereward) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:03 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Rose Moon (GER) (3.50), 2. Hereward (FR) (2.50), 3. Caelan's Rose (GB) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:03 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 45.68s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org