Who won the 15:39 Salisbury on 3 September 2026?
Miss Miniver (IRE) won the 15:39 Salisbury at SP 2.10. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Roger Varian.
15:39 Salisbury
British EBF Quidhampton Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £20,616 · Thursday, 3 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stMiss Miniver (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Roger Varian11/10F·2.10SP
- 2ndThi Qar (IRE)AI top pick · 40.6Oisin Murphy·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 0.3 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdEllavara (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.3 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 31.90s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Miss Miniver (IRE))
“Set the pace from the off - urged forward with 2f left - held on gamely through the closing stages to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way40.6/100 rating
Thi Qar
5.00BetTom
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Thi Qar
Oisin Murphy · John & Thady Gosden · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 40.6 · +1.5 clear of next best (39.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2
- Trainer20% weight75strongJohn & Thady Gosden: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 5.00 (BetTom) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Salisbury 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.89
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.16
High (7–9)
IV 0.98
Today: Miss Miniver (draw 4) and Learning (draw 6) get the bias; Thi Qar (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Roger Varian · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 2 | — | 39.1 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 2 | — | 40.6 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 2yo · F · b | — | — | 22.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 5 | — | 16.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 25.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 1 2yo · F · b | — | — | 28.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: David Egan · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 3 | — | 27.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rob Hornby · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 9 | — | 20.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:39 Salisbury?
No — the AI top pick (Thi Qar) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:39 Salisbury?
Top finishers: 1. Miss Miniver (IRE) (2.10), 2. Thi Qar (IRE) (3.50), 3. Ellavara (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:39 Salisbury?
The winning time was 1m 31.90s.
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