18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

Bettingsites.co.uk Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 7 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Castlemont (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Walking On Stars (IRE)AI top pick · 64.0
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 3.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Liam Mera Kai (FR)
    Harry Vigors·Warren Greatrex·beaten 6 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 35.06s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Castlemont (IRE))

Set the pace from the off - driven out with two furlongs left and drifted left while drawing clear - stayed on strongly to the line - won with something in hand

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Walking On Stars

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 64.0 · +9.0 clear of next best (54.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 5-4-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 34.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.08
High (7–8)
IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1
3yo · G · b
1
46.5
1/3F·1.33
SP
28
3yo · F · b
542
7764.0
7/2·4.50
SP
31
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 8
5yo · G · b
5
29.0
12/1·13.00
SP
42
4yo · C · b
04032
7654.9
16/1·17.00
SP
55
J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: James Owen · draw 4
4yo · F · ch
24
22.7
33/1·34.00
SP
64
J: George Downing · T: Toby Bulgin · draw 5
4yo · F · b
8
30.5
150/1·151.00
SP
77
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 2
3yo · G · b
243
7747.3
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7
3yo · G · bFirst after wind op
15.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:10 Southwell (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Castlemont (IRE) won the 18:10 Southwell (AW) at SP 1.33. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:10 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Walking On Stars) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:10 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Castlemont (IRE) (1.33), 2. Walking On Stars (IRE) (4.50), 3. Liam Mera Kai (FR) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:10 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 35.06s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org