15:40 Ascot

Juddmonte Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 7 runners · £15,462 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Nobelos (IRE)
Rob Hornby·Charles Hills
33/1·34.00
SP
2nd
Brushstroke (GB)
Ray Dawson·T J Kent·beaten .75 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP
3rd
War Chest (GB)
Rhys Clutterbuck·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 0.1 lengths
66/1·67.00
SP

Race time

1m 16.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nobelos (IRE))

“Bumped at the jump - eager and tucked in second early - shared front spot by halfway - pushed to the front inside the final furlong - kept finding more to the line”

AI top-rated Soldier Of The Sea (score 74.2) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way74.2/100 rating

Soldier Of The Sea

5.30Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Soldier Of The Sea

Taylor Fisher · William Knight · 2yo

Top-rated of 7

score 74.2 · +43.2 clear of next best (31.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
William Knight: 5/12 winners last 14d (42%)
Form20% weight
85very strong
Last 6: 1-2
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
45d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 5.30 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.07

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.72

High (6–7)

IV 1.19

Today: Pure Mint (draw 7) and Does Mary Know (draw 6) get the bias; Brushstroke (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Nobelos J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 2 2yo · C · b	4	9-04	—	—	—	26.0	33/1·34.00 SP
2	7	Brushstroke J: Ray Dawson · T: T J Kent · draw 4 2yo · C · b	2	8-10	—	—	—	25.6	11/1·12.00 SP
3	5	War Chest J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 1 2yo · C · bhFT H	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.0	66/1·67.00 SP
4	2	Soldier Of The Sea J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 3 2yo · C · b	12	9-10	86	—	—	74.2	7/2·4.50 SP
5	6	Storm Force Ten J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5 2yo · G · b	03	8-13	—	—	—	24.5	28/1·29.00 SP
6	1	Pure Mint J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 7 2yo · C · b	1	9-10	—	—	—	31.0	8/15F·1.53 SP
7	3	Does Mary Know J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 6 2yo · C · b	62	9-04	—	—	—	27.7	8/1·9.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Ascot on 4 September 2026?

Nobelos (IRE) won the 15:40 Ascot at SP 34.00. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Charles Hills.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Soldier Of The Sea) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:40 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Nobelos (IRE) (34.00), 2. Brushstroke (GB) (12.00), 3. War Chest (GB) (67.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 16.68s.

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