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18:45 Kilbeggan

Ireland

Kilsaran Handicap Steeplechase

2m4½f · Chase · Good To Yielding · 13 runners · €12,000 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Soldante (IRE)
    Kevin Healy·Ciaran Murphy
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Butter Fingers (IRE)
    Shane Markey·Ross O'Sullivan·beaten 1.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Watch The Weather (GB)AI top pick · 80.1
    Paddy Cody·R P Cody·beaten .5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
4m 58.20s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Soldante (IRE))

Held up towards back of pack - progress to 6th three out - driven after following fence and edged to front approaching last - kept going strongly to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way80.1/100 rating
Watch The Weather
12.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pinot Gris

Pinot Gris holds a clear edge at the head of the ratings, seven pounds superior to the nearest rival Hashtag Pretender, and that gap over a stamina-sapping twenty furlongs at Kilbeggan looks increasingly significant as the race develops. Where's My Jet and Watch The Weather are the other dangers worth respecting in a competitive thirteen-runner field, though both rate below the selection. With the ground riding good and conditions suiting a horse of Pinot Gris's calibre, the selection looks the one to be on, and Pinot Gris is taken to win.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Watch The Weather

Paddy Cody(7) · R P Cody · 10yo

Top-rated of 13
score 80.1 · +3.8 clear of next best (76.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    R P Cody: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    81very strong
    OR 122 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 2-0-5-3-3
MarketBest price 12.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 0
8yo · G · b
33135
11263.9
11/2·6.50
SP
211
J: Shane Markey(7) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 0
5yo · G · g
43617
10956.7
12/1·13.00
SP
33
J: Paddy Cody(7) · T: R P Cody · draw 0
10yo · G · bt
20533
12280.1
8/1·9.00
SP
42
J: Sean Flanagan · T: Barry Connell · draw 0
9yo · G · bt
23F1
12461.8
15/2·8.50
SP
51
6yo · G · gt
00412
13276.3
3/1F·4.00
SP
64
J: Paul Townend · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
7yo · G · b
60P00
12254.9
5/1·6.00
SP
713
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0
11yo · G · chb
436B7
10348.3
33/1·34.00
SP
87
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Martin Hassett · draw 0
8yo · M · b
61684
11162.8
22/1·23.00
SP
98
J: Sam Ewing · T: Sean Joseph Allen · draw 0
6yo · G · bt
88754
11062.3
16/1·17.00
SP
109
J: Conor Clarke(7) · T: Ray Hackett · draw 0
9yo · M · bt
37P48
11049.4
18/1·19.00
SP
1110
9yo · G · b
6894
11047.9
40/1·41.00
SP
PU5
J: Donagh Meyler · T: Noel Meade · draw 0
7yo · G · b
P4142
11862.1
7/1·8.00
SP
PU12
8yo · G · bb
P9057
10450.9
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Kilbeggan on 4 September 2026?

Soldante (IRE) won the 18:45 Kilbeggan at SP 6.50. Ridden by Kevin Healy. Trained by Ciaran Murphy.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Kilbeggan?

No — the AI top pick (Watch The Weather) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 18:45 Kilbeggan?

Top finishers: 1. Soldante (IRE) (6.50), 2. Butter Fingers (IRE) (13.00), 3. Watch The Weather (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Kilbeggan?

The winning time was 4m 58.20s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org