18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

13:40 Ascot

Schweppes Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £41,232 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/1F·2.00
  1. 1st
    Thunder Call (GB)AI top pick · 66.6
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    The Fingal Raven (IRE)
    William Carver·Jamie Osborne·beaten 2.75 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Two Tribes (GB)
    Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer·beaten 0.3 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 28.96s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Thunder Call (GB))

settled just off the pace - pushed along and made progress inside final 2f - hit front last furlong and soon asserted - allowed to idle towards the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way55.4/100 rating
Northern Express
10.007Bet
Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Two Tribes

Two Tribes has been posting times that back up a progressive profile, and at a pound behind the top-rated Mubasimah on paper that gap looks well within his compass if he continues on an upward curve over this seven furlongs at Ascot. Mubasimah heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Addison Grey and Ghost Mode, both on 101, add depth to what shapes as a genuinely competitive Class 2. The clock evidence tilts the case toward Two Tribes continuing his progression, and he is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Thunder Call

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 66.6 · +3.7 clear of next best (63.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    81very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-1-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 93
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    William Haggas: 9/48 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 2.44 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.87
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.98
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Thunder Call (draw 10) and Northern Express (draw 8) get the bias; Lord Britain (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 10
3yo · C · ch
21132
9366.6
1/1F·2.00
SP
27
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 6
4yo · G · bt
550939
9254.5
16/1·17.00
SP
31
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 7
5yo · G · chb
007205
10363.0
7/2·4.50
SP
43
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Clive Cox · draw 5
4yo · G · gr
225391
9757.2
5/1·6.00
SP
58
J: Charles Bishop · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 9
4yo · F · gr
63200
9143.8
33/1·34.00
SP
66
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
3yo · F · b
60507
9652.0
16/1·17.00
SP
75
J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · C · ch
790615
9754.3
8/1·9.00
SP
810
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Michael Dods · draw 2
6yo · G · bh
194201
8251.4
33/1·34.00
SP
3yo · C · bt
40158
9860.5
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Michael Dods · draw 8
8yo · G · chp
635513
9755.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:40 Ascot on 5 September 2026?

Thunder Call (GB) won the 13:40 Ascot at SP 2.00. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:40 Ascot?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Thunder Call, won the race (AI score 66.6).

What were the placings in the 13:40 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Thunder Call (GB) (2.00), 2. The Fingal Raven (IRE) (17.00), 3. Two Tribes (GB) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 13:40 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 28.96s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org