Who won the 14:10 Ascot on 5 September 2026?
Turty Tree (IRE) won the 14:10 Ascot at SP 21.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Andrew Balding.
14:10 Ascot
TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stTurty Tree (IRE)David Probert·Andrew Balding20/1·21.00SP
- 2ndDecade Of Time (GB)George Bass·Jack Channon·beaten 0.2 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdArchers Bay (IRE)AI top pick · 69.7Pat Dobbs·Marco Botti·beaten .75 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
2m 30.42s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Turty Tree (IRE))
“Settled towards the back early - biding time approaching 2f out - forced left after a gap failed to appear - found room and began closing inside the final furlong - edged in front close home - clung on by a whisker”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way66.8/100 rating
Ancestor
7.60Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Guildmaster
Guildmaster heads this nine-runner Ascot Class 2 over a mile and a half on good ground with a clear edge in the ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Decade Of Time and a few pounds clear of the trio of Into The Light, Turty Tree and Archers Bay, and the step up to twelve furlongs looks well within his compass based on his form profile. Decade Of Time is the most obvious danger having posted solid recent efforts, while Into The Light and Turty Tree add further depth to the dangers and cannot be dismissed on similar figures. The ground and trip look to suit our selection, and with confidence in his ability to translate that rating edge into a performance on the day, Guildmaster is the one to be with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Archers Bay
Pat Dobbs · Marco Botti · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 69.7 · +1.8 clear of next best (67.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongMarco Botti: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
- Ratings50% weight66strongOR 99 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 1-3-9-4-1
MarketBest price 21.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.75
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.18
High (7–9)
IV 1.11
Today: Heyzoom (draw 6) and Guildmaster (draw 5) get the bias; Decade Of Time (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 3yo · C · bp | 334126 | 90 | 59.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 1 3yo · C · b | 31124 | 95 | 60.3 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Marco Botti · draw 8 3yo · C · bp | 13941 | 99 | 69.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Nicola Currie · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 3yo · C · bpFT P | 62222 | 81 | 59.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 3yo · C · chp | 321321 | 85 | 59.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 411 | 92 | 66.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 3yo · G · btb | 1378 | 99 | 60.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Owen Burrows · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 3214 | 90 | 61.4 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 9 3yo · C · bp | 122010 | 96 | 67.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Archers Bay) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:10 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Turty Tree (IRE) (21.00), 2. Decade Of Time (GB) (8.00), 3. Archers Bay (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:10 Ascot?
The winning time was 2m 30.42s.
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