Who won the 15:25 Ascot on 5 September 2026?
Gavriel (GB) won the 15:25 Ascot at SP 3.50. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.
15:25 Ascot
Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £16,200 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 5/2·3.50Race report
- 1stGavriel (GB)AI top pick · 71.1Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndBalzac (GER)Sorin Moldoveanu·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 1.75 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdLion Of Alba (GB)David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.25 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
2m 11.76s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Gavriel (GB))
“settled just off the pace - moved sweetly into contention 2f out - pressed for the front approaching the final furlong - stayed on strongly to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way52.8/100 rating
Law Court
6.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Balzac
Balzac rates narrowly behind the top-rated Lion of Alba on these figures but a progressive profile and strong clock evidence suggest the bare rating undersells him at this stage of his campaign, making him an appealing proposition over ten furlongs on good ground at Ascot. Lion of Alba is the most obvious threat given his narrow edge at the head of the ratings, while Law Court and Dark Whisper both hold realistic claims and cannot be dismissed in a competitive Class 3 field. Confidence is modest, and this is not a race to be dogmatic about, but the clock-backed progression tips the scales in favour of our selection. Balzac is the pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Gavriel
Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 71.1 · +10.7 clear of next best (60.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight80strongLast 6: 4-1-2
- Trainer20% weight75strongJohn & Thady Gosden: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 95 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.00 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.75
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.18
High (6–7)
IV 1.11
Today: Lion of Alba (draw 5) and Dark Whisper (draw 4) get the bias; Gavriel (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 412 | 95 | 71.1 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Sorin Moldoveanu(7) · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 13300 | 95 | 43.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 5 3yo · C · bt | 17477 | 90 | 49.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6 3yo · G · bpFT P | 74212 | 82 | 60.4 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Jack Callan · T: George Baker · draw 3 3yo · G · ch | 82362 | 83 | 54.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 3yo · C · b | 221292 | 87 | 52.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Saffie Osborne · T: David Menuisier · draw 4 3yo · G · gr | 2310 | 85 | 46.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Ascot?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Gavriel, won the race (AI score 71.1).
What were the placings in the 15:25 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Gavriel (GB) (3.50), 2. Balzac (GER) (13.00), 3. Lion Of Alba (GB) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:25 Ascot?
The winning time was 2m 11.76s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org