Who won the 15:20 Kempton (AW) on 5 September 2026?
Moonrise (IRE) won the 15:20 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.
15:20 Kempton (AW)
William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Standard / Slow · 8 runners · £42,532 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/4·3.75Race report
- 1stMoonrise (IRE)AI top pick · 67.9Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding11/4·3.75SP
- 2ndShimmering Sun (IRE)Daniel Muscutt·Harry Eustace·beaten 3.75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdSocial Symbol (USA)Rob Hornby·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 0.3 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
1m 12.00s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Moonrise (IRE))
“Pulling hard early - set the pace throughout - driven and two lengths in front entering the last furlong - finished full of running to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.9/100 rating
Adaay of Scarlett
6.50LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Social Symbol
Social Symbol heads into this Class 1 six-furlong contest at Kempton on the all-weather narrowly behind the top-rated Adaay of Scarlett on ratings, yet a progressive profile makes a compelling case for preferring her here, suggesting there may be more to come from her than her current figure implies. Adaay of Scarlett, Moonrise, and Agamemnon all represent serious dangers in a competitive field, and with four runners within a couple of pounds of one another at the head of the ratings the race is genuinely open. Social Symbol is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Moonrise
Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 67.9 · +0.4 clear of next best (67.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight93very strongLast 6: 1-2-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong42d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 100 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight38below averageAndrew Balding: 8/53 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 4.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.89
High (8–10)
IV 0.74
Today: Nicely (draw 2) and Bated Benevolence (draw 3) get the bias; Moonrise (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 121 | 100 | 67.9 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Harry Eustace · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 1720 | 94 | 48.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 1443 | 96 | 55.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | 2161 | 89 | 67.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 1 2yo · C · ch | 12 | 93 | 58.6 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Marco Botti · draw 3 2yo · F · br | 1012 | 86 | 67.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4 2yo · C · bp | 122225 | 106 | 63.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: George Scott · draw 5 2yo · F · grt | 14 | 88 | 58.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 618324 | 104 | 62.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 10 2yo · F · b | 11 | 92 | 62.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:20 Kempton (AW)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Moonrise, won the race (AI score 67.9).
What were the placings in the 15:20 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Moonrise (IRE) (3.75), 2. Shimmering Sun (IRE) (17.00), 3. Social Symbol (USA) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:20 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 12.00s.
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