18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

14:50 Kempton (AW)

William Hill September Stakes (Group 3)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Standard / Slow · 5 runners · £53,874 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Pride Of Arras (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Gethin (IRE)
    Callum Rodriguez·Owen Burrows·beaten 1 length
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Warrant Holder (IRE)
    Benoit de la Sayette·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 2 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
2m 29.96s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Pride Of Arras (IRE))

“Handy early - pushed to close in on pacesetter with 2f left - moved through to hit front inside final furlong and stayed on strongly to win”

AI top-rated Constitution Hill (score 80.2) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way80.2/100 rating
Constitution Hill
6.50SportingIndex
Place portion settles at 2.38 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pride Of Arras

Pride Of Arras arrives at Kempton in progressive form and, despite sitting narrowly behind the top two on ratings, the upward trajectory of his profile makes a compelling case that he has more to offer than the bare figures suggest. Dubai Future and Gethin, rated three pounds and two pounds ahead respectively, represent the sternest dangers in what looks a competitive renewal, and Tornado Alert cannot be discounted either over this twelve-furlong trip on the all-weather. The confidence here is tempered given the quality of the opposition, but a horse moving in the right direction on a sound surface is always worth backing to take another step forward. Pride Of Arras is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Constitution Hill

Billy Loughnane · Nicky Henderson · 9yo

Top-rated of 7
score 80.2 · +6.4 clear of next best (73.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Nicky Henderson: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    67strong
    OR 101
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    164d since last run (rusty)
MarketBest price 6.50 (SportingIndex) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.21
High (6–7)
IV 0.83

Today: Pride Of Arras (draw 4) and Almeric (draw 5) get the bias; Tornado Alert (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Pride Of Arras
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4
4yo · G · b
01482
11466.2
11/2·6.50
SP
24
Gethin
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 3
4yo · C · gr
22125
11769.8
4/6F·1.67
SP
37
Warrant Holder
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
4yo · G · bt
31120
11172.1
8/1·9.00
SP
43
Constitution Hill
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Nicky Henderson · draw 2
9yo · G · b
11
10180.2
9/2·5.50
SP
51
Dubai Future
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 6
10yo · G · bp
84193
11369.8
20/1·21.00
SP
——
Almeric
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
4yo · C · gr
93336
11263.5—
——
Tornado Alert
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 7
4yo · C · b
46214
11673.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:50 Kempton (AW) on 5 September 2026?

Pride Of Arras (IRE) won the 14:50 Kempton (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:50 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Constitution Hill) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 14:50 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Pride Of Arras (IRE) (6.50), 2. Gethin (IRE) (1.67), 3. Warrant Holder (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:50 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 29.96s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org