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RacingAlpha

14:05 Thirsk

Jw4x4 Northallerton Nursery Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £4,711 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    This Moment (IRE)
    Grace McEntee·George Boughey
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Black Velvet Boy (IRE)AI top pick · 63.9
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten .75 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Furturra (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
58.38s

Race time recorded.

In-running (This Moment (IRE))

Sat close to the front pack - pushed along to nose in front inside final furlong - pulled clear late to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way63.9/100 rating
Black Velvet Boy
7.00Dragon Bet
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Roots In Touche

Roots In Touche heads this nine-runner Class 4 sprint at Thirsk on good-to-soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Princesse d'Orange on a pound and three pounds clear of Furturra, though the margins are slim enough to keep confidence modest. Princesse d'Orange and Furturra are the most obvious threats, with Savage Mariner also capable of making his presence felt over the five furlongs. The form edge, however slender, belongs to our selection, and on ratings Roots In Touche is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Black Velvet Boy

Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 63.9 · +6.3 clear of next best (57.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    84very strong
    Last 6: 7-3-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    John & Sean Quinn: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (Dragon Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.73
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.08
High (7–9)
IV 1.22

Today: Black Velvet Boy (draw 8) and Concert Pitch (draw 9) get the bias; This Moment (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Grace McEntee · T: George Boughey · draw 3
2yo · G · b
24241
8354.1
9/1·10.00
SP
25
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 8
2yo · G · b
7311
8063.9
5/1·6.00
SP
36
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
2yo · G · ch
212405
7748.5
5/1·6.00
SP
41
J: Kevin Stott · T: David O'Meara · draw 4
2yo · F · b
15309
8348.6
5/1·6.00
SP
57
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 7
2yo · F · chhFT H
2418
7745.8
9/1·10.00
SP
69
J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison · draw 9
2yo · C · b
662221
7254.2
100/30F·4.33
SP
73
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 6
2yo · G · bh
513
8356.3
15/2·8.50
SP
88
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
26235
7457.6
11/1·12.00
SP
92
J: Harry Davies · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1
2yo · G · bb
2000
8344.7
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:05 Thirsk on 5 September 2026?

This Moment (IRE) won the 14:05 Thirsk at SP 10.00. Ridden by Grace McEntee. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:05 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Black Velvet Boy) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:05 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. This Moment (IRE) (10.00), 2. Black Velvet Boy (IRE) (6.00), 3. Furturra (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:05 Thirsk?

The winning time was 58.38s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org