Who won the 15:50 Thirsk on 5 September 2026?
Grasmere Boy (GB) won the 15:50 Thirsk at SP 6.50. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Julie Camacho.
15:50 Thirsk
Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £9,421 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stGrasmere Boy (GB)Jason Hart·Julie Camacho11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndMidnight Thunder (GB)Pierre-Louis Jamin·Saeed bin Suroor·beaten 1.25 lengths13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdMusical Touch (IRE)Ethan Tindall·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 3.25 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
1m 10.00s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Grasmere Boy (GB))
“Sent to front early - driven up and lost the advantage by a whisker 2f out - fought back to hold on - drifted left approaching the final furlong - regained command inside the last 110yds - stayed on resolutely to prevail”
AI top-rated Ray Mon Dough (score 61.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way57.5/100 rating
Midnight Thunder
9.60Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fivethousandtoone
Fivethousandtoone heads this ten-runner Thirsk six-furlong contest on good-to-soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Commanche Falls and a few pounds clear of Midnight Thunder and Dark Cloud Rising, giving connections every reason for optimism. Commanche Falls represents the most pressing threat and will need to be watched closely throughout, while Midnight Thunder and Dark Cloud Rising could also make their presence felt if conditions suit. There is a case to be made that the gap at the top is not insurmountable on the day, but Fivethousandtoone's edge across the field is consistent and the overall profile is compelling enough to warrant support. Fivethousandtoone is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ray Mon Dough
Kevin Stott · Oliver Cole · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 61.5 · +2.6 clear of next best (58.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 94
- Trainer20% weight55small sample (n=9)Oliver Cole: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 6-2-6-1-8
MarketBest price 101.00 (Betano) · 9th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.73
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.08
High (8–10)
IV 1.22
Today: Dark Cloud Rising (draw 10) and Musical Touch (draw 8) get the bias; Midnight Thunder (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Jason Hart · T: Julie Camacho · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 221155 | 89 | 51.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 4 4yo · C · bt | 9405 | 92 | 57.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 01710 | 88 | 53.9 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Oliver Cole · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 62618 | 94 | 61.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 441161 | 86 | 55.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Billy Garritty · T: David O'Meara · draw 10 4yo · G · bv | 0U1326 | 94 | 58.8 | 5/1F·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 8yo · G · bp | 220686 | 79 | 47.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 9yo · G · brp | 220703 | 91 | 48.1 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 1 5yo · M · b | 192439 | 97 | 50.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Keady · draw 7 5yo · G · bp | 703110 | 89 | 50.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:50 Thirsk?
No — the AI top pick (Ray Mon Dough) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:50 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Grasmere Boy (GB) (6.50), 2. Midnight Thunder (GB) (7.50), 3. Musical Touch (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:50 Thirsk?
The winning time was 1m 10.00s.
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