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17:00 Thirsk

Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div I)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Andesite (GB)
    Kevin Stott·Roger Fell
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Misunderstood (FR)
    Jason Hart·David O'Meara·beaten 0.05 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Good Karma (GB)
    Ethan Tindall·John David Riches·beaten 0.3 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.19s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Andesite (GB))

Settled midfield early - made ground into third with 3f left - driven to challenge inside final furlong and a half - got up close home to score

AI top-rated Native Instinct (score 53.8) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.8/100 rating
Native Instinct
6.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Wreck It Ryley

Wreck It Ryley sits a few pounds below Andesite and Misunderstood on our ratings but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come from this seven-furlong trip on good-to-soft ground at Thirsk. Andesite heads the field on ratings and must be respected, while Misunderstood and Mythical Phoenix are also dangers capable of making their presence felt if running to form. The bet is taken that Wreck It Ryley's upward trajectory brings him competitive enough to outrun his current rating, though this is not a race to be dogmatic about. The selection is Wreck It Ryley.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Native Instinct

Harry Davies · Edward Bethell · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 53.8 · +3.6 clear of next best (50.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 6-2-6-1-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Edward Bethell: 3/22 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 6.20 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Native Honey (draw 10) and Wreck It Ryley (draw 9) get the bias; Native Instinct (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Kevin Stott · T: Roger Fell · draw 5
4yo · G · bt
322057
8050.2
5/1·6.00
SP
22
J: Jason Hart · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
4yo · G · bh
677452
8049.7
9/4F·3.25
SP
310
6yo · G · grp
741234
6142.6
40/1·41.00
SP
45
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3
4yo · G · bh
323788
7745.1
7/2·4.50
SP
54
J: David Allan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8
6yo · G · bh
88806
7736.3
33/1·34.00
SP
69
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 10
4yo · G · b
100155
7145.1
12/1·13.00
SP
78
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael Appleby · draw 7
4yo · G · chtFT T
944479
7243.5
8/1·9.00
SP
86
J: Harry Davies · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4
4yo · G · b
62614
7653.8
9/2·5.50
SP
91
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2
4yo · G · b
41584
8244.8
18/1·19.00
SP
J: Non Runner · T: Alan Brown · draw 9
6yo · G · grb
389637
7640.8

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Thirsk on 5 September 2026?

Andesite (GB) won the 17:00 Thirsk at SP 6.00. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Roger Fell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Native Instinct) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 17:00 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Andesite (GB) (6.00), 2. Misunderstood (FR) (3.25), 3. Good Karma (GB) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 25.19s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org