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17:35 Thirsk

Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Nyman (IRE)
    Joanna Mason·Roger Fell
    100/30F·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Midnight Strike (IRE)
    Darragh Keenan·Jennie Candlish·beaten .75 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Capital Guarantee (IRE)
    Billy Garritty·David O'Meara·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.12s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nyman (IRE))

Settled midfield - urged forward past the 2f mark despite finding traffic - angled right approaching the final furlong - finished strongly to hit the front late and score

AI top-rated Imperial Guard (score 50.1) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way50.1/100 rating
Imperial Guard
7.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mr King

Mr King arrives at Thirsk on a progressive profile that makes him an appealing proposition at this Class 4 seven-furlong test on good-to-soft ground, and while he sits narrowly behind the top two in the ratings, the trajectory of his recent form suggests he is capable of bridging that modest gap. Obelix and Stanley Spencer head the ratings and must be respected as the principal dangers, and Midnight Strike, rated level with our selection, will also need watching over this trip. On balance, though, Mr King's upward curve gives him the edge, and he is the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Imperial Guard

Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 50.1 · +0.1 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 8-5-1-1-1-0
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Michael Dods: 2/31 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–9)
IV 1.16

Today: Capital Guarantee (draw 8) and Midnight Strike (draw 7) get the bias; Nyman (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 3
4yo · G · b
406439
7046.3
100/30F·4.33
SP
24
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 7
4yo · G · btp
008153
7747.1
7/1·8.00
SP
33
J: Billy Garritty · T: David O'Meara · draw 8
6yo · G · ch
906166
7850.0
4/1·5.00
SP
42
J: Jason Hart · T: Julie Camacho · draw 2
6yo · G · b
015504
8143.5
4/1·5.00
SP
58
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 9
7yo · G · ch
320063
7142.1
5/1·6.00
SP
67
J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: John Mackie · draw 4
4yo · G · bb
125078
7238.6
28/1·29.00
SP
76
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 5
5yo · G · b
851110
7550.1
9/2·5.50
SP
81
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Fionn McSharry · draw 6
5yo · G · bp
863920
8143.1
40/1·41.00
SP
J: David Allan · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 1
6yo · G · gh
67185
7742.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:35 Thirsk on 5 September 2026?

Nyman (IRE) won the 17:35 Thirsk at SP 4.33. Ridden by Joanna Mason. Trained by Roger Fell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:35 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Imperial Guard) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 17:35 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Nyman (IRE) (4.33), 2. Midnight Strike (IRE) (8.00), 3. Capital Guarantee (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:35 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 26.12s.

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