Who won the 15:30 Newton Abbot on 7 September 2026?
Fairlawn Skipper (GB) won the 15:30 Newton Abbot at SP 6.00. Ridden by Shane Fenelon. Trained by Mickey Bowen.
15:30 Newton Abbot
Devonport Royal Dockyard Social Club Handicap Hurdle Race
3m2½f · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,281 · Monday, 7 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stFairlawn Skipper (GB)Shane Fenelon·Mickey Bowen5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndMy Girl Katie (IRE)Alix Balfe·Grace Harris·beaten 4.25 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdJager Time (IRE)AI top pick · 73.1Fern O'Brien·Fergal O'Brien·beaten 4 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
6m 36.02s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fairlawn Skipper (GB))
“Settled in the pack early - closed on the front-runner 3 out - hit the front and driven along before 2 out - stayed on approaching the last to win eased down”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way64.9/100 rating
My Girl Katie
5.00LiveScore Bet
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fairlawn Skipper
Fairlawn Skipper sits level on rating with three rivals at the head of this extended three-mile-plus heat at Newton Abbot, but a progressive profile and a fitness edge over the top-rated give a marginal reason to side with this one in what is an open affair. Bashful Boy, Jager Time and Masterdream all match the selection on paper and will press hard throughout, meaning any lapse in jumping or concentration could easily prove costly. The confidence here is modest, and punters should be aware this is a genuinely competitive heat with little to separate the principals. On balance, Fairlawn Skipper is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jager Time
Fern O'Brien(5) · Fergal O'Brien · 7yo
Top-rated of 7
score 73.1 · +8.2 clear of next best (64.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong50d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight79strongLast 6: 1-4-3-2-1
- Ratings50% weight73strongOR 109 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Fergal O'Brien: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 21.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Shane Fenelon(5) · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0 6yo · G · b | 4901U | 108 | 61.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Alix Balfe(7) · T: Grace Harris · draw 0 9yo · M · b | 13111 | 96 | 64.9 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Fern O'Brien(5) · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 0 7yo · G · ch | 14321 | 109 | 73.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: James Best · T: Jackie Du Plessis · draw 0 9yo · G · b | 37363 | 83 | 43.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Jack Tudor · T: David Pipe · draw 0 10yo · G · btb | P038 | 89 | 42.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Adam Wedge · T: Mrs C Williams · draw 0 9yo · G · ch | 46U61 | 84 | 45.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Conor O'Farrell · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0 9yo · G · btp | 133P3 | 101 | 58.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Newton Abbot?
No — the AI top pick (Jager Time) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Newton Abbot?
Top finishers: 1. Fairlawn Skipper (GB) (6.00), 2. My Girl Katie (IRE) (3.00), 3. Jager Time (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Newton Abbot?
The winning time was 6m 36.02s.
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