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16:15 Windsor

Weatherbys Global Stallions App Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3)

1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 7 runners · £53,874 · Monday, 7 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Maho Bay (GB)
    William Buick·Charlie Appleby
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Venetian Prince (GB)
    Jason Watson·Andrew Balding·beaten 2.5 lengths
    66/1·67.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Harmonics (IRE)
    Shane Foley·John & Thady Gosden·beaten .75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 6.31s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Maho Bay (GB))

Led throughout and dictated a measured gallop - nudged for effort 2f out - urged inside final furlong - stayed in front to the line

AI top-rated Morris Dancer (score 76.1) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Raaheeb

Raaheeb arrives at Windsor as the standout performer in this Class 1 ten-furlong contest, rated narrowly ahead of Morris Dancer and a more convincing margin clear of the rest, with his form profile justifying strong faith in a bold showing on good ground. Morris Dancer is the most obvious threat and will need to be watched, while On Message and Maho Bay cannot be dismissed if the selection hits any sort of trouble in running. The remainder look to be operating at a level below the principals and are unlikely to land a decisive blow unless conditions swing dramatically in their favour. Raaheeb is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Morris Dancer

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 76.1 · +5.5 clear of next best (70.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 9/22 winners last 14d (41%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    60d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    72strong
    OR 108
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 1-2-1-3-7
MarketBest price 140.00 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Windsor 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.21
High (6–7)
IV 0.85

Today: Maho Bay (draw 4) and Venetian Prince (draw 5) get the bias; Harmonics (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 157 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 4
3yo · C · b
1145
10570.6
5/2·3.50
SP
21
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · C · chp
224015
10761.7
66/1·67.00
SP
34
J: Shane Foley · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 7
3yo · C · bhFT H
51185
9770.4
12/1·13.00
SP
47
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
3yo · F · b
13741
10467.3
10/1·11.00
SP
52
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Owen Burrows · draw 3
3yo · C · b
114
11266.8
1/1F·2.00
SP
66
3yo · C · b
12137
10876.1
15/2·8.50
SP
73
J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 6
3yo · G · gr
13021
9859.9
14/1·15.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:15 Windsor on 7 September 2026?

Maho Bay (GB) won the 16:15 Windsor at SP 3.50. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Windsor?

No — the AI top pick (Morris Dancer) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:15 Windsor?

Top finishers: 1. Maho Bay (GB) (3.50), 2. Venetian Prince (GB) (67.00), 3. Harmonics (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:15 Windsor?

The winning time was 2m 6.31s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org