13:53 Catterick

Racing To School Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Aura Of Melania

No. 3 · score 51.3 · +3.6 clear of next best · best 13/8·2.63

Best value vs consensus

Johns Power

28/1·29.00 Bet365 · +9% vs fair (consensus 26.68)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way47.7/100 rating

Lady Titania

8.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Cheeky ChescaDiffers from our pick

Cheeky Chesca heads this Class 6 sprint at Catterick on ratings and looks a worthy favourite on her merits, sitting narrowly ahead of Mick's The Boy, who represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly. Spectacular Diver and Moriarty Moon also hold realistic claims and will need watching, though both face a deficit they must overcome on a good surface over six furlongs. The selection's edge at the head of the field looks genuine enough to trust at this level, and Cheeky Chesca is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Aura Of Melania

Kevin Stott · Roger Fell · 2yo

Top-rated of 8

score 51.3 · +3.6 clear of next best (47.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
54average
Last 6: 6-4-4-5-3-2
Trainer20% weight
48below average
Roger Fell: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
Ratings50% weight
42below average
OR 63

MarketBest price 2.63 (LiveScore Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
2Mick's The Boy
Prominent(3)
4Spectacular Diver 5Cheeky Chesca 6Lady Titania
Mid-division(2)
1Moriarty Moon 7Johns Power
Hold-up / closers(1)
3Aura Of Melania
Unknown(1)
8Steamy Wonder

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.36

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.79

High (7–8)

IV 0.80

Today: Lady Titania (draw 1) and Cheeky Chesca (draw 3) get the bias; Aura Of Melania (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Aura Of MelaniaPick J: Kevin Stott · T: Roger Fell · draw 4 · combo 5/30 (17%) 2yo · F · chtFT TOnly pairing	644532	9-07	63	—	—	51.3	15/8·2.86	13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook11/8·2.38Paddy Power11/8·2.38 Bet36511/8·2.38Matchbook2.28·2.28BetMGM5/4·2.25Hollywood Bets5/4·2.25Quinn Bet5/4·2.25 Midnite5/4·2.25 Unibet5/4·2.25 BetWright5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25 7Bet5/4·2.25 Dragon Bet5/4·2.25Smarkets2.24·2.24Betfair Exchange2.22·2.22 Boyle Sports6/5·2.20 William Hill6/5·2.20 SmarketsSBK6/5·2.20 Bet Victor6/5·2.20 Betano6/5·2.20 SportingIndex6/5·2.20 Spreadex6/5·2.20 Coral6/5·2.20 Star Sports6/5·2.20 Ladbrokes6/5·2.20 BetTom6/5·2.20
6	Lady Titania J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 · combo 5/38 (13%) 2yo · F · chtClass dropOnly pairing	775	9-00	56	—	—	47.7	17/2·9.72	8.2·8.20 Matchbook · -16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.2·8.20Boyle Sports7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Betfred7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Smarkets8·8.00Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50BetMGM13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50
4	Spectacular Diver J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 · combo 8/118 (7%) 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	25637	9-07	63	—	—	45.8	14/1·15.25	15·15.00 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook15·15.00Bet36512/1·13.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00BetMGM10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
5	Cheeky Chesca J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 · combo 24/239 (10%) 2yo · F · bbClass drop	377933	9-04	60	—	—	42.8	4/1·5.08	5·5.00 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5·5.00Smarkets4.9·4.90Betfair Exchange4.9·4.90 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet36510/3·4.33 7Bet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00Star Sports3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00
2	Mick's The Boy J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 8 · combo 9/96 (9%) 2yo · G · bvFT VClass drop	8265	9-08	64	—	—	42.3	10/1·10.80	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00Matchbook8.8·8.80Smarkets8.6·8.60BetMGM15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Betano15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00
1	Moriarty Moon J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Bell · draw 2 2yo · G · chvFT VClass dropOnly pairing	6765	9-09	65	—	—	39.8	8/1·9.21	8.8·8.80 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.8·8.80Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 Bet3657/1·8.00Smarkets7.8·7.80Ladbrokes13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Coral13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00
8	Steamy Wonder J: P J McDonald · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 7 2yo · F · bbFT BClass drop	737	8-12	54	—	—	39.0	20/1·21.60	19·19.00 Matchbook · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Smarkets19·19.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betano16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30
7	Johns Power J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 6 · combo 2/28 (7%) 2yo · C · bOnly ride	06470	8-12	54	—	—	37.6	25/1·26.68	28/1·29.00 Bet365 · +9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36528/1·29.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00BetWright22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Smarkets19.5·19.50Virgin Bet18/1·19.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing To School Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Racing To School Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 13:53 on 8 September 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:53 Catterick?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:53 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:53 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Aura Of Melania (score 51.3, best price 2.63). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:53 Catterick?

The market favourite is Aura Of Melania at a best price of 2.63.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org