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14:28 Catterick

Racing Tv Club Day Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners · £4,320 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 54.2 · +8.8 clear of next best · best 4/1·4.80

Drawn 3, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
13.5·13.50 Smarkets · +16% vs fair (consensus 11.67)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way54.2/100 rating
Apex Star
4.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Apex Star

Jason Hart · William Knight · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 54.2 · +8.8 clear of next best (45.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    William Knight: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 3-7-2-0-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55
MarketBest price 4.80 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.36
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.79
High (6–7)
IV 0.80

Today: Apex Star (draw 3) and Queen Sana (draw 2) get the bias; Stoneacre Joe (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Jason Hart · T: William Knight · draw 3
3yo · G · bOnly runner
372033
5554.24/1·4.914.8·4.80
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 · combo 24/239 (10%)
3yo · G · bbFT BClass drop
284543
6045.411/1·11.6713.5·13.50
Smarkets · +16% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 2 · combo 0/5 (0%)
3yo · F · bpFT POnly runner
226247
6744.610/3·4.304.2·4.20
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 4 · combo 2/34 (6%)
3yo · G · bpFT PClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
53
32.07/4·2.766/4·2.50
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 · combo 7/134 (5%)
3yo · G · chClass dropOnly ride
43
26.010/1·11.069/1·10.00
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Harry Russell · T: Brian Ellison · draw 7
4yo · F · chClass dropOnly runner
46
14.266/1·62.6550/1·51.00
Bet Victor · -19% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
4
J: David Nolan · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6 · combo 1/14 (7%)
3yo · G · chClass dropOnly runner
76
10.7100/1·99.51100/1·101.00
7Bet · +2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Tv Club Day Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)?

The Racing Tv Club Day Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) is off at 14:28 on 8 September 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:28 Catterick?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:28 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:28 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Apex Star (score 54.2, best price 4.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:28 Catterick?

The market favourite is Persian Gate at a best price of 2.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Apex Star.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org