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15:03 Catterick

Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div I)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £4,004 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 46.1 · +0.8 clear of next best · best 2/1·3.00

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
50/1·51.00 Bet365 · +11% vs fair (consensus 46.16)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way45.3/100 rating
Hares Bredth
10.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Daytona LadyDiffers from our pick

Daytona Lady heads this nine-runner Class 6 sprint at Catterick on good ground narrowly ahead of the chasing pack, and her form entitles her to go well over this six-furlong trip. Giant is the most obvious danger and will need to be watched, while Taygar and Methgal could both make their presence felt if Daytona Lady fails to reproduce her best. The selection's edge over the field is modest enough to keep confidence at a measured level, but the overall profile makes a compelling enough case. Daytona Lady is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Methgal

P J McDonald · Dylan Cunha · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 46.1 · +0.8 clear of next best (45.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 0-4-7-2-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Dylan Cunha: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 3.00 (Paddy Power) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.36
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.79
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: Methgal (draw 2) and Battenburg Belle (draw 4) get the bias; Hares Bredth (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: P J McDonald · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2
4yo · G · btbD
047212
6246.111/4·3.692/1·3.00
Paddy Power · -19% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 · combo 24/239 (10%)
3yo · G · btD
371763
5645.317/2·9.6210·10.00
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Clifford Lee · T: Ian Williams · draw 7
6yo · G · bDOnly runner
423871
6343.45/1·5.775.7·5.70
Betfair Exchange
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Jason Hart · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 4 · combo 1/6 (17%)
3yo · F · bC&DGoing 1/2Only pairing
215331
5241.78/1·8.977.6·7.60
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 · combo 5/41 (12%)
5yo · M · bClass dropOnly pairing
224269
6141.613/2·7.697.8·7.80
Matchbook
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: Connor Beasley · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 3 · combo 1/5 (20%)
5yo · M · bvC&DGoing 1/2Only runner
033418
6240.610/1·10.9017/2·9.50
Bet365 · -13% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 9 · combo 6/109 (6%)
6yo · M · bpClass drop
267728
6436.812/1·12.8210/1·11.00
Virgin Bet · -14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
J: Rowan Scott · T: Liam Bailey · draw 1
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
032340
4633.1
6
J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 10 · combo 2/26 (8%)
4yo · G · b
86500
5831.250/1·46.1650/1·51.00
Bet365 · +11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 6 · combo 2/52 (4%)
5yo · G · btv
05006
5431.150/1·52.5750/1·51.00
Bet365 · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 15:03 on 8 September 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:03 Catterick?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:03 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:03 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Methgal (score 46.1, best price 3.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:03 Catterick?

The market favourite is Methgal at a best price of 3.00.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org