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17:21 Catterick

Rmg Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £4,711 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 62.5 · +4.9 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.70
Best value vs consensus
16·16.00 Matchbook · +14% vs fair (consensus 14.09)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way62.5/100 rating
Our Absent Friends
5.70Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Wen MoonDiffers from our pick

Wen Moon holds a progressive profile that makes her an appealing alternative to the top-rated Hanney Girl, who sits four pounds clear on ratings but may lack the upward trajectory that could prove decisive over this sharp five furlongs at Catterick on good ground. Our Absent Friends and Protest Rally are not without claims and will need to be kept onside, though neither quite matches the levels Wen Moon has been showing. The case for our selection rests on the belief that her progression still has further to run, though this is admittedly a competitive Class 5 field where the outcome is far from settled. Wen Moon is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Our Absent Friends

Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson · 8yo

Top-rated of 9
score 62.5 · +4.9 clear of next best (57.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Tristan Davidson: 5/12 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 9-1-9-1-5-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 5.70 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 6 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.36
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.79
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: Keldeo (draw 3) and Wen Moon (draw 1) get the bias; Our Absent Friends (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 7 · combo 4/13 (31%)
8yo · G · chC&DGoing 1/5Only runner
919153
7462.511/2·6.405.7·5.70
Smarkets · -11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 3 · combo 3/33 (9%)
5yo · M · grpOnly runner
444294
6857.67/1·8.0113/2·7.50
Bet365 · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Ben Haslam · draw 1 · combo 0/8 (0%)
6yo · G · bOnly runner
51033
7050.611/2·6.406.4·6.40
Smarkets
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 · combo 9/96 (9%)
4yo · F · bD
514144
7250.08/1·8.978.4·8.40
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 10 · combo 4/33 (12%)
3yo · G · chpClass dropC&DOnly pairing
251210
7348.712/1·12.8110/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -14% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 · combo 24/239 (10%)
3yo · F · btClass drop
539944
7148.26/1·7.049/2·5.50
7Bet · -22% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 6 · combo 10/113 (9%)
4yo · F · bDGoing 1/3
311250
7244.212/1·12.8113.5·13.50
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: David Nolan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 8
3yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
35262
6942.511/1·12.1712.5·12.50
Smarkets · +3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Tina Jackson · draw 2 · combo 2/7 (29%)
5yo · M · bC&DOnly runner
477610
5632.3
9
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Liam Bailey · draw 9 · combo 1/6 (17%)
6yo · G · bOnly pairing
68845
6730.214/1·14.0916·16.00
Matchbook · +14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Rmg Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Stakes?

The Rmg Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Stakes is off at 17:21 on 8 September 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:21 Catterick?

5f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:21 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:21 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Our Absent Friends (score 62.5, best price 5.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:21 Catterick?

The market favourite is Hanney Girl at a best price of 5.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Our Absent Friends.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org