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17:51 Catterick

Racing Again 30th September Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,800 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 51.2 · +1.3 clear of next best · best 22/1·23.00
Best value vs consensus
100/1·101.00 Bet365 · +21% vs fair (consensus 83.20)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way45.3/100 rating
Star Start
4.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: ZimmermanDiffers from our pick

Zimmerman holds a progressive profile that makes him an appealing alternative to Pedro The Poet, who sits narrowly ahead on ratings. Saratoga Gold and Fleur de Mer are respected dangers over fourteen furlongs on good ground, and this is not a race to approach with great confidence given the competitive nature of the field. On balance, however, Zimmerman's upward trajectory gives him a realistic chance of outrunning his rating over fourteen furlongs at Catterick, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Pedro The Poet

Mr Harvey James(7) · Nicky Richards · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 51.2 · +1.3 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Nicky Richards: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    15weak
    Last 6: 4-0-5-0-8-6
MarketBest price 23.00 (Bet365) · 6th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.27
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.12
High (7–9)
IV 0.60

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 31 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
5yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
405086
6451.222/1·23.5922/1·23.00
Bet365 · -2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Mr Thomas Easterby(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 · combo 1/12 (8%)
7yo · G · chtpClass dropOn last winning markDOnly ride
623611
6150.013/8·2.612.14·2.14
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
J: Mr James Hills(5) · T: Faye Bramley · draw 6
4yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner
45714
6445.7
5
J: Miss Charli Parker(5) · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1 · combo 2/6 (33%)
6yo · G · bClass dropOn last winning markOnly ride
321221
5745.34/1·4.974.6·4.60
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
8yo · G · chpOnly rideOnly runner
32663
6141.112/1·13.6615·15.00
Matchbook · +10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
6yo · M · bvOnly rideOnly runner
236432
5840.813/2·7.4511/2·6.50
Bet365 · -13% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: Mr Henry Callan · T: Michael Bell · draw 7
4yo · G · bpOnly ride
902044
6440.315/2·8.699.4·9.40
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
4yo · F · bpFT POn last winning markDOnly rideOnly runner
731064
6034.725/1·26.0822/1·23.00
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
7yo · G · baybrownOnly rideOnly runner
07557
5830.580/1·83.20100/1·101.00
Bet365 · +21% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Again 30th September Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes?

The Racing Again 30th September Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes is off at 17:51 on 8 September 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:51 Catterick?

1m6f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:51 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:51 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Pedro The Poet (score 51.2, best price 23.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:51 Catterick?

The market favourite is Zimmerman at a best price of 2.14. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Pedro The Poet.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org