16:25 Goodwood

Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 12 runners · £5,574 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Benavente

No. 11 · score 58.4 · +5.2 clear of next best · best 50/1·55.00

Best value vs consensus

Hello Cotai

7.8·7.80 Smarkets · +14% vs fair (consensus 6.82)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way53.2/100 rating

Decalogue

5.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Blue WonderDiffers from our pick

Blue Wonder sits just a pound behind the top-rated Benavente but is preferred on a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come over this ten-furlong trip at Goodwood, and if that improvement continues to arrive on good ground the gap in ratings matters little. Benavente heads the field on paper and cannot be dismissed, while Sir Edward Lear and Decalogue, both rated 72, make this a competitive Class 5 heat where a small margin for error exists. Blue Wonder is the selection, though this is a race where punters should be aware confidence is modest given how closely matched the principals are.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Benavente

Finley Marsh · Gary Brown · 8yo

Top-rated of 12

score 58.4 · +5.2 clear of next best (53.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
Gary Brown: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 4-2-3-8-1-0
Ratings50% weight
39below average
OR 59

MarketBest price 55.00 (Matchbook) · 11th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
3Hello Cotai
Prominent(2)
2Sir Edward Lear 8Prodigal Son
Mid-division(2)
4Blue Wonder 10Platinum Prince
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Oasis Sunrise 11Benavente 12Brave Leader
Unknown(4)
5Boy George 6Lady McC 7Decalogue 9Connie Moon

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.82

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.19

High (9–12)

IV 1.02

Today: Oasis Sunrise (draw 6) and Sir Edward Lear (draw 8) get the bias; Benavente (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
11	BenaventePick J: Finley Marsh · T: Gary Brown · draw 1 · combo 2/5 (40%) 8yo · G · bOnly runner	423810	9-05	59	—	—	58.4	50/1·55.89	55·55.00 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Bet36550/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Smarkets46·46.007Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
7	Decalogue J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 11 · combo 10/51 (20%) 3yo · G · bOnly runner	68432	9-09	69	—	—	53.2	5/1·6.13	4/1·5.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3654/1·5.00Matchbook4.9·4.90Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80Smarkets4.8·4.80Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetMGM7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33
1	Oasis Sunrise J: Cieren Fallon · T: Grace Harris · draw 6 4yo · F · brDOnly pairing	143349	10-02	70	—	—	45.6	12/1·12.95	10·10.00 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00Bet3659/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Betfair Exchange10·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Ladbrokes17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50William Hill17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 BetMGM7/1·8.00
3	Hello Cotai J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 3 · combo 2/27 (7%) 5yo · G · bClass dropOn last winning markDOnly rideOnly runner	613441	10-02	65	—	—	45.5	6/1·6.82	7.8·7.80 Smarkets · +14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets7.8·7.80Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet36511/2·6.50Matchbook6.2·6.20Midnite9/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50
4	Blue Wonder J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 9 4yo · F · bDOnly runner	00415	10-00	68	—	—	42.8	4/1·4.77	4·4.00 Matchbook · -16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook4·4.00Betfair Exchange4·4.00Smarkets3.95·3.95SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Coral5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40Hollywood Bets9/4·3.25Bet3659/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25William Hill9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25
2	Sir Edward Lear J: George Wood · T: James Owen · draw 8 · combo 0/7 (0%) 5yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	30545	10-02	70	—	—	42.7	20/1·20.45	16/1·17.00 Bet365 · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36516/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00Matchbook16·16.00Smarkets16·16.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
5	Boy George J: J F Egan · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 10 · combo 0/5 (0%) 9yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	8111	9-11	65	—	—	42.4	9/1·10.22	18·18.00 Betfair Exchange · +76% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange18·18.00Smarkets17·17.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Matchbook11.5·11.50Bet3659/1·10.00 Betfred13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 BetTom6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50
8	Prodigal Son J: Luke Morris · T: Heather Main · draw 2 · combo 0/6 (0%) 4yo · G · grbOnly pairing	137492	9-09	63	—	—	40.0	20/1·20.45	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.007Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00
10	Platinum Prince J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 12 · combo 0/10 (0%) 9yo · G · grbOnly rideOnly runner	50545	9-07	61	—	—	38.3	14/1·14.99	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Star Sports9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00BetTom9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Bet36517/2·9.50
12	Brave Leader J: David Probert · T: Tom Ward · draw 4 3yo · G · bOnly runner	56469	9-00	60	—	—	34.7	20/1·20.45	19·19.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00Smarkets18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange18·18.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Star Sports14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Bet36511/1·12.00
9	Connie Moon J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 7 · combo 1/20 (5%) 4yo · F · bvOnly rideOnly runner	38675	9-08	62	—	—	33.8	16/1·17.72	14/1·15.00 Bet365 · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00Smarkets13·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Matchbook13·13.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40
6	Lady McC J: Paddy Bradley · T: Daniel Steele · draw 5 4yo · F · btFirst after wind opOnly runner	55808	9-11	65	—	—	30.4	50/1·55.89	60·60.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 7Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Bet36540/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 36% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes?

The Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes is off at 16:25 on 8 September 2026 at Goodwood (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:25 Goodwood?

1m2f, Class 5, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:25 Goodwood?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:25 Goodwood?

The AI top-rated runner is Benavente (score 58.4, best price 55.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:25 Goodwood?

The market favourite is Blue Wonder at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Benavente.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org