14:17 Leicester

British Ebf "confined" Expotile Novice Stakes (For Horses Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (Div II)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £6,804 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Magic Harry

No. 3 · score 33.5 · +8.7 clear of next best · best 6/4·2.50

Best value vs consensus

Oldbullyoungbull

25/1·26.00 Bet365 · +18% vs fair (consensus 21.97)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way24.8/100 rating

Palace Legacy

7.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Magic Harry

David Egan · Tom Clover · 2yo

Top-rated of 9

score 33.5 · +8.7 clear of next best (24.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3
Trainer20% weight
58average
Tom Clover: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 2.50 (Betfair Sportsbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
1Cites 2Jinman 6Palace Legacy 8Solar Mission
Unknown(5)
3Magic Harry 4Muhandes 5Oldbullyoungbull 7Quai Louis 9Sterling Cooper

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leicester 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.03

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.17

High (7–9)

IV 0.81

Today: Sterling Cooper (draw 5) and Oldbullyoungbull (draw 6) get the bias; Magic Harry (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Magic HarryPick J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 8 · combo 6/23 (26%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	3	9-02	—	—	—	33.5	2/1·3.08	6/4·2.50 Betfair Sportsbook · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook6/4·2.50Paddy Power6/4·2.50Matchbook2.5·2.50Betfair Exchange2.5·2.50Smarkets2.48·2.48SmarketsSBK7/5·2.40 Coral11/8·2.38 LiveScore Bet11/8·2.38Hollywood Bets69/50·2.38Virgin Bet11/8·2.38William Hill11/8·2.38 Unibet11/8·2.38 7Bet11/8·2.38 Bet Victor11/8·2.38 Betano11/8·2.38 Quinn Bet11/8·2.38 SportingIndex11/8·2.38 Spreadex11/8·2.38 Boyle Sports11/8·2.38 BetTom11/8·2.38 BetWright11/8·2.38 Dragon Bet11/8·2.38 Ladbrokes11/8·2.38 Bet3655/4·2.25 Midnite5/4·2.25 Star Sports5/4·2.25 BetMGM5/4·2.25 Betfred6/5·2.20
6	Palace Legacy J: Tom Marquand · T: James Tate · draw 1 2yo · C · bOnly runner	38	9-02	—	—	—	24.8	13/2·7.43	7.8·7.80 Smarkets · +5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50Matchbook7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 Bet36511/2·6.50 Betfred5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00
9	Sterling Cooper J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 · combo 4/56 (7%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.5	14/1·15.51	18·18.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50 Bet36512/1·13.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00
7	Quai Louis J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 9 · combo 4/42 (10%) 2yo · C · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	18/1·19.39	20·20.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook20·20.00Smarkets19.5·19.50Bet36518/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Star Sports14/1·15.00
1	Cites J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 · combo 19/104 (18%) 2yo · C · b	6	9-02	—	—	—	21.0	12/1·13.25	12/1·13.00 Bet365 · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36512/1·13.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50BetMGM9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50
5	Oldbullyoungbull J: Charles Bishop · T: Alan King · draw 6 2yo · C · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	20.5	20/1·21.97	25/1·26.00 Bet365 · +18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Coral18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00Matchbook18·18.00SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange17·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00
2	Jinman J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 3 · combo 27/112 (24%) 2yo · C · chOnly runner	7	9-02	—	—	—	18.0	7/1·8.08	7.4·7.40 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook7.4·7.40Smarkets7.4·7.40Bet3656/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80 Coral11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50
4	Muhandes J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 7 · combo 24/123 (20%) 2yo · G · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	17.5	5/1·5.82	5.5·5.50 Smarkets · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets5.5·5.50Matchbook5.3·5.30Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Bet36510/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33
8	Solar Mission J: William Cox · T: Georgina Nicholls · draw 4 · combo 0/5 (0%) 2yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	0	9-02	—	—	—	7.0	150/1·130.55	125/1·126.00 Bet365 · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet365125/1·126.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.007Bet100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00Matchbook100·100.00LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Betfair Exchange55·55.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Ebf "confined" Expotile Novice Stakes (For Horses Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (Div II)?

The British Ebf "confined" Expotile Novice Stakes (For Horses Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (Div II) is off at 14:17 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:17 Leicester?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:17 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:17 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Magic Harry (score 33.5, best price 2.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:17 Leicester?

The market favourite is Magic Harry at a best price of 2.50.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org