14:52 Leicester

Mapei Uk Nursery Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £3,140 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Hemustbeanangel

No. 1 · score 46.9 · +2.4 clear of next best · best 9/1·10.50

Best value vs consensus

Coul Blue

11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +10% vs fair (consensus 10.46)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way46.9/100 rating

Hemustbeanangel

10.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Perfect HopeDiffers from our pick

Perfect Hope heads this ten-runner Class 6 contest at Leicester with a clear edge in the ratings over the chasing pack, sitting narrowly ahead of Honeymoon Bear and a touch further clear of Hamdani Mokhater, and on good-to-soft ground over seven furlongs this looks a prime opportunity for the selection to assert. Honeymoon Bear and Hamdani Mokhater represent the most credible threats and will need to find improvement to bridge the gap, while Hemustbeanangel is the other runner worth keeping an eye on in the straight. With confidence high in the selection's profile relative to what she faces here, Perfect Hope is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Hemustbeanangel

Owen Lewis(5) · Roger Teal · 2yo

Top-rated of 10

score 46.9 · +2.4 clear of next best (44.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
51average
Last 6: 9-3-3
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
25weak
Roger Teal: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)

MarketBest price 10.50 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Fortunate
Prominent(3)
1Hemustbeanangel 3Arctic Tsar 8Hamdani Mokhater
Mid-division(1)
10King Of Persia
Hold-up / closers(3)
4Bossy Angel 6Perfect Hope 9Coul Blue
Unknown(2)
2Son Of A Fish 7Honeymoon Bear

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leicester 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.03

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.17

High (8–10)

IV 0.81

Today: Fortunate (draw 7) and Son Of A Fish (draw 5) get the bias; Coul Blue (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	HemustbeanangelPick J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 2 · combo 2/25 (8%) 2yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	933	9-09	65	—	—	46.9	10/1·11.11	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Bet3658/1·9.00 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20
5	Fortunate J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 7 · combo 3/27 (11%) 2yo · F · bClass dropDOnly ride	045931	9-07	63	—	—	44.5	11/1·11.76	10.5·10.50 Smarkets · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets10.5·10.50Matchbook10.5·10.50Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.507Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00William Hill8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50
9	Coul Blue J: Tom Eaves · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 2yo · G · grpFT PClass dropOnly runner	463	9-02	58	—	—	41.7	9/1·10.46	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +10% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Betano7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Bet36513/2·7.50
6	Perfect Hope J: Rob Hornby · T: Tom Ward · draw 1 · combo 1/9 (11%) 2yo · F · bpFT P	6982	9-05	61	—	—	41.3	4/1·4.90	3/1·4.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3653/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00Smarkets4·4.00Matchbook4·4.00Hollywood Bets11/4·3.757Bet11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 Betfair Exchange3.6·3.60 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Betano5/2·3.50
2	Son Of A Fish J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 · combo 9/91 (10%) 2yo · C · chClass drop	537	9-09	65	—	—	40.2	15/2·8.50	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.60Unibet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Star Sports11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00
4	Bossy Angel J: Darragh Keenan · T: Rod Millman · draw 9 · combo 1/20 (5%) 2yo · F · grClass dropOnly runner	9855	9-07	63	—	—	39.2	12/1·13.07	10/1·11.00 Paddy Power · -16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00William Hill9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.007Bet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80Bet Victor17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
10	King Of Persia J: Joanna Mason · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing	776	9-01	57	—	—	39.0	16/1·16.99	16/1·17.00 Bet365 Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36516/1·17.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Matchbook11·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80
3	Arctic Tsar J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 10 · combo 9/46 (20%) 2yo · C · bClass drop	866	9-09	65	—	—	38.3	15/2·8.50	7.4·7.40 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook7.4·7.40Smarkets7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20 Bet3656/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 BetTom11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet Victor5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00
7	Honeymoon Bear J: Jack Mitchell · T: Joseph Parr · draw 3 · combo 0/7 (0%) 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	744	9-04	60	—	—	38.0	9/1·10.46	9.6·9.60 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.6·9.60Bet36517/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 Betfred7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Midnite7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Smarkets8·8.00Spreadex7/1·8.00 7Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50
8	Hamdani Mokhater J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 4 · combo 2/12 (17%) 2yo · G · bp	752379	9-03	59	—	—	38.0	16/1·16.99	14/1·15.00 Bet365 · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00Matchbook13.5·13.50Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.007Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange12·12.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Mapei Uk Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Mapei Uk Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 14:52 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:52 Leicester?

7f, Class 6, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:52 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:52 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Hemustbeanangel (score 46.9, best price 10.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:52 Leicester?

The market favourite is Perfect Hope at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Hemustbeanangel.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org