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15:27 Leicester

Dale Hall And Hickman Associates Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £3,140 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 49.0 · +0.1 clear of next best · best 13/2·7.60
Best value vs consensus
10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK · +11% vs fair (consensus 9.89)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way49.0/100 rating
Staniel Cay
7.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Act Of ViolenceDiffers from our pick

Act Of Violence is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there may be more to come from this runner, even if the bare ratings place it a few pounds below the top trio of Black Missile, Our Planet and Ezra Cee in what looks a competitive five-furlong Class 6 on good-to-soft ground at Leicester. Black Missile heads the ratings narrowly ahead of Our Planet and Ezra Cee and must be respected, while those two rivals also carry strong claims in a race where the margins at the top are slim. The case for Act Of Violence rests on the belief that its upward curve has not yet flattened, and that improvement on good-to-soft ground could see it outrun its current standing. Act Of Violence is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Staniel Cay

Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 49.0 · +0.1 clear of next best (48.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 5-4-1-3-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28small sample (n=9)
    Grant Tuer: 1/9 winners last 14d (11%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 7.60 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leicester 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.13
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–11)
IV 0.92

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 111 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 4 · combo 7/68 (10%)
3yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
54134
6549.08/1·9.187.6·7.60
Matchbook · -17% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 · combo 3/19 (16%)
5yo · G · grtClass dropOnly ride
68413
6248.89/2·5.305.7·5.70
Smarkets · +8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Roy Bowring · draw 11 · combo 0/5 (0%)
8yo · G · bDOnly runner
43132
6144.911/1·12.0110/1·11.00
Bet365 · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 3 · combo 9/97 (9%)
5yo · G · btClass dropOnly runner
536427
6243.011/2·6.365.7·5.70
Smarkets · -10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6
3yo · G · brvFT VClass dropOnly runner
45536
6242.87/1·7.778·8.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Michael Appleby · draw 5
3yo · F · chpFT PClass dropOnly runner
283769
6039.040/1·40.9836·36.00
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Tom Eaves · T: Ruth Carr · draw 10
8yo · G · bOnly runner
286404
6138.18/1·9.188·8.00
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
10
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8 · combo 7/94 (7%)
5yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner
06961
5936.79/1·9.8910/1·11.00
SmarketsSBK · +11% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Keady · draw 9 · combo 0/9 (0%)
4yo · G · bbFT BOnly pairing
70666
6234.133/1·32.5028/1·29.00
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Derek Shaw · draw 7
5yo · G · grvFT VOnly rideOnly runner
3567
6430.633/1·32.5028/1·29.00
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
11
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ross Burdon · draw 2
4yo · G · btbOnly runner
945678
4528.825/1·26.8522/1·23.00
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 41% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Dale Hall And Hickman Associates Handicap Stakes?

The Dale Hall And Hickman Associates Handicap Stakes is off at 15:27 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:27 Leicester?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:27 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:27 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Staniel Cay (score 49.0, best price 7.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:27 Leicester?

The market favourite is Act Of Violence at a best price of 5.70. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Staniel Cay.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org