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16:32 Leicester

British Ebf W.b Simpson & Sons (midlands) Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £7,851 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 70.5 · +9.2 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.00
Best value vs consensus
12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +8% vs fair (consensus 11.61)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way70.5/100 rating
Dove Tale
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Princess RascalDiffers from our pick

Princess Rascal heads this nine-runner Leicester contest on a mile and a quarter of good-to-soft ground, narrowly ahead of a clutch of rivals that makes this a genuinely competitive Class 4 affair, with Spirit Of Athene, Mother Dear, and Gaspacho all capable of making their presence felt at ratings that give them a realistic shout. The confidence here is modest given how tightly the field is grouped behind her, and Spirit Of Athene in particular looks the most likely to bridge the gap if Princess Rascal fails to produce her best. On balance, though, Princess Rascal holds the strongest claims on the evidence available and is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dove Tale

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 70.5 · +9.2 clear of next best (61.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 9/22 winners last 14d (41%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 9-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
MarketBest price 6.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leicester 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.07
High (7–9)
IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 · combo 18/66 (27%)
3yo · F · bhClass dropDOnly rideOnly runner
931
7970.56/1·7.095/1·6.00
Bet365 · -15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1 · combo 24/153 (16%)
3yo · F · b
511
8061.311/4·3.723.45·3.45
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 · combo 13/50 (26%)
3yo · F · bD
31215
7557.95/1·5.804/1·5.00
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 · combo 19/104 (18%)
3yo · F · bpD
33514
7655.89/1·10.3210·10.00
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3 · combo 16/141 (11%)
3yo · F · bClass drop1lb below win mark
425213
7653.814/1·14.1918.5·18.50
Smarkets · +30% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Ray Dawson · T: Oliver Cole · draw 8
4yo · F · chpFT POnly runner
14450
8048.611/1·12.2511·11.00
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Rob Hornby · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 6 · combo 2/20 (10%)
3yo · F · chDOnly pairing
815
7345.320/1·21.9320·20.00
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 · combo 9/91 (10%)
3yo · F · gr
46162
7344.711/1·11.6112.5·12.50
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
5yo · M · bDOnly rideOnly runner
16381
5740.525/1·27.0928·28.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Ebf W.b Simpson & Sons (midlands) Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)?

The British Ebf W.b Simpson & Sons (midlands) Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) is off at 16:32 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:32 Leicester?

1m2f, Class 4, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:32 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:32 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Dove Tale (score 70.5, best price 6.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:32 Leicester?

The market favourite is Gaspacho at a best price of 3.45. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Dove Tale.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org