17:07 Leicester

Your Move Estate Agents Apprentice Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £3,140 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Forca Timao

No. 1 · score 51.0 · +6.9 clear of next best · best 8/1·9.00

Best value vs consensus

Merapi

17.5·17.50 Smarkets · +9% vs fair (consensus 16.10)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.0/100 rating

Forca Timao

9.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Forca TimaoAgrees with our pick

Forca Timao heads this eleven-runner Leicester Class 6 contest over ten furlongs on good-to-soft ground narrowly ahead of Stipulation on ratings, with Jewel Maker and Merapi also in the mix as the chief dangers in what looks a competitive enough affair at this level. The selection's edge over the field is modest and confidence is limited, so Stipulation in particular cannot be dismissed if reproducing her best form, while Jewel Maker and Merapi are closely matched and capable of making their presence felt on the day. On balance, the ratings advantage and overall profile point in one direction, and the call is Forca Timao.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Forca Timao

Alfie Redman(5) · Mark Pattinson · 6yo

Top-rated of 11

score 51.0 · +6.9 clear of next best (44.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
Mark Pattinson: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
43below average
Last 6: 5-6-4-4-5-3
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 9.00 (Bet365) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Forca Timao 5Merapi
Prominent(3)
2Stipulation 6Cy Twombly 7Little Tiger
Mid-division(1)
11Dinah Myte
Hold-up / closers(5)
3Jewel Maker 4Ricardo Phillips 8Knightmare 9Withoutfurtherado 10Charencey

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leicester 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.91

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.07

High (9–11)

IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Forca TimaoPick J: Alfie Redman(5) · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 5 6yo · G · bhtOnly rideOnly runner	564453	9-09	60	—	—	51.0	10/1·11.41	8/1·9.00 Bet365 · -21% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3658/1·9.00Smarkets8.6·8.60Matchbook8.6·8.60Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Quinn Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 BetMGM7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Betano7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40
3	Jewel Maker J: Jake Dickson(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 11 · combo 10/73 (14%) 11yo · G · bClass drop	877641	9-08	59	—	—	44.1	15/2·8.72	8.6·8.60 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.6·8.60Smarkets8.4·8.40SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 William Hill11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange3.65·3.65
8	Knightmare J: Miss Amy Tucker(7) · T: David Evans · draw 1 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · G · bbOnly ride	222125	9-03	54	—	—	43.7	16/1·17.45	17·17.00 Smarkets · -3% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets17·17.00Matchbook17·17.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
7	Little Tiger J: Laura Coughlan · T: William Stone · draw 7 6yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	63046	9-03	54	—	—	43.6	11/2·6.71	9/2·5.50 Betfair Sportsbook · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Matchbook5.1·5.10Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange5·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00Smarkets5·5.00William Hill7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50
4	Ricardo Phillips J: Harry Vigors(3) · T: Henry Candy · draw 6 5yo · G · bpFT PC&DOnly rideOnly runner	93321	9-07	58	—	—	42.7	10/3·4.36	3.6·3.60 Matchbook · -17% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook3.6·3.60Smarkets3.55·3.55Bet3655/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 7Bet9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25Hollywood Bets9/4·3.25Midnite9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25Bet Victor85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13 Betfair Exchange2.36·2.36
10	Charencey J: Jack Callan · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 6yo · G · chtvOnly rideOnly runner	762233	8-13	50	—	—	40.7	9/1·10.06	8.6·8.60 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.6·8.60Bet36515/2·8.50 Midnite7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Smarkets7.6·7.607Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20
5	Merapi J: Kyle McHugh(5) · T: Michael Keady · draw 4 · combo 0/15 (0%) 4yo · F · bpOnly ride	752226	9-07	58	—	—	36.6	16/1·16.10	17.5·17.50 Smarkets · +9% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Matchbook11.5·11.50Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
2	Stipulation J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 10 · combo 1/22 (5%) 5yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	386762	9-09	60	—	—	35.8	10/1·11.00	10·10.00 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Bet36517/2·9.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Coral15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Star Sports7/1·8.00 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50
11	Dinah Myte J: William Pyle · T: John Gallagher · draw 8 4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	142366	8-11	48	—	—	31.4	16/1·16.10	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
6	Cy Twombly J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: John Mackie · draw 9 · combo 0/11 (0%) 4yo · G · btvOnly rideOnly runner	098940	9-05	56	—	—	28.4	40/1·38.92	33/1·34.00 Bet365 · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36533/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Matchbook27·27.00Smarkets27·27.007Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
9	Withoutfurtherado J: Liam Wright · T: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck · draw 3 · combo 1/9 (11%) 4yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	50597	9-01	52	—	—	27.3	40/1·45.63	40/1·41.00 Bet365 · -10% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00Bet Victor28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Matchbook27·27.00BetMGM25/1·26.00Smarkets24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Your Move Estate Agents Apprentice Handicap Stakes?

The Your Move Estate Agents Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 17:07 on 8 September 2026 at Leicester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:07 Leicester?

1m2f, Class 6, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:07 Leicester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:07 Leicester?

The AI top-rated runner is Forca Timao (score 51.0, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:07 Leicester?

The market favourite is Ricardo Phillips at a best price of 3.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Forca Timao.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org