17:42 Bangor-on-Dee

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

2m½f · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,281 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Provision

No. 2 · score 74.6 · +9.1 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.00

Best value vs consensus

Pretty Darn Quick

220·220.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair (consensus 196.56)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way74.6/100 rating

Provision

5.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Provision

Isabelle Ryder(5) · Barry Brennan · 4yo

Top-rated of 8

score 74.6 · +9.1 clear of next best (65.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
48d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
Barry Brennan: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
73strong
Last 6: 5-3-3-1
Ratings50% weight
70strong
OR 105

MarketBest price 5.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Cadillac Ranch 2Provision
Prominent(2)
5Ride Like A Girl 6Secret Beach
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
7Rose Warrior 8Evenly
Unknown(2)
3Hidden Fortune 4Pretty Darn Quick

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	ProvisionPick J: Isabelle Ryder(5) · T: Barry Brennan · draw 0 4yo · G · brDGoing 1/2	5331	11-05	105	—	—	74.6	4/1·4.88	4/1·5.00 Bet365 · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3654/1·5.00Matchbook5·5.00Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80Smarkets4.6·4.60SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 William Hill10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.757Bet5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40
5	Ride Like A Girl J: Gavin Sheehan · T: Jamie Snowden · draw 0 · combo 10/40 (25%) 5yo · M · btDOnly runner	34412	11-00	107	—	—	65.5	4/1·4.88	10/3·4.33 Paddy Power · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Bet3653/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00William Hill3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Matchbook3.75·3.75SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75Smarkets3.75·3.75SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Betfair Exchange3.7·3.70 7Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50
3	Hidden Fortune J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 63/180 (35%) 5yo · M · b	1221	11-00	—	—	—	41.8	11/8·2.34	1.84·1.84 Matchbook · -21% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook1.84·1.84SmarketsSBK5/6·1.83Smarkets1.83·1.83Bet3655/6·1.83 William Hill5/6·1.83 Unibet5/6·1.83 Midnite5/6·1.83 Betfair Exchange1.82·1.82 BetMGM4/5·1.80 Ladbrokes4/5·1.80Hollywood Bets4/5·1.807Bet4/5·1.80 Bet Victor4/5·1.80 BetTom4/5·1.80 BetWright4/5·1.80 Betano4/5·1.80 Betfred4/5·1.80 Boyle Sports4/5·1.80 Coral4/5·1.80 Dragon Bet4/5·1.80 Quinn Bet4/5·1.80 SportingIndex4/5·1.80 Spreadex4/5·1.80 LiveScore Bet8/11·1.73Betfair Sportsbook8/11·1.73Paddy Power8/11·1.73Virgin Bet8/11·1.73Star Sports8/11·1.73
4	Pretty Darn Quick J: Tabitha Worsley · T: Sarah Hollinshead · draw 0 6yo · G · btFT TOnly rideOnly runner	9870P	11-00	73	—	—	41.8	200/1·196.56	220·220.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook220·220.00Betfair Exchange220·220.00 Bet365200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets150/1·151.007Bet150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 BetTom150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Boyle Sports150/1·151.00 Coral150/1·151.00 Ladbrokes150/1·151.00 Midnite150/1·151.00 Quinn Bet150/1·151.00 Unibet150/1·151.00 William Hill150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 Star Sports125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00
1	Cadillac Ranch J: Miss Ellie Callwood(7) · T: L J Morgan · draw 0 6yo · G · bGoing 1/2Only rideOnly runner	PPPP1	11-07	—	—	—	30.2	14/1·15.62	14/1·15.00 Paddy Power · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power14/1·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Matchbook15·15.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetMGM10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
7	Rose Warrior J: Ian Power · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 0 · combo 0/11 (0%) 4yo · G · bpOnly ride	8	10-12	—	—	—	12.5	100/1·105.44	100/1·101.00 Bet365 · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet365100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00Midnite100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00Matchbook80·80.007Bet70/1·71.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00Smarkets55·55.00BetMGM50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange44·44.00
8	Evenly J: Brian Hughes · T: Donald McCain · draw 0 5yo · M · b	60	10-07	—	—	—	11.3	150/1·164.01	150/1·151.00 BetTom · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ BetTom150/1·151.00 Quinn Bet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 Midnite150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Boyle Sports150/1·151.00 William Hill150/1·151.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00Hollywood Bets125/1·126.00LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.007Bet100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00Matchbook70·70.00BetMGM66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange42·42.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00
6	Secret Beach J: Theo Gillard · T: Donald McCain · draw 0 · combo 4/47 (9%) 5yo · G · bt	8	11-00	—	—	—	10.5	12/1·12.69	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange5·5.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)?

The Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race) is off at 17:42 on 8 September 2026 at Bangor-on-Dee (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:42 Bangor-on-Dee?

2m½f, Class 4, Hurdle, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:42 Bangor-on-Dee?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:42 Bangor-on-Dee?

The AI top-rated runner is Provision (score 74.6, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:42 Bangor-on-Dee?

The market favourite is Hidden Fortune at a best price of 1.84. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Provision.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org